What is RadioShack Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where RadioShack's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
RadioShack Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
RadioShack (FRA:TAN) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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RS Legacy Corp, formerly RadioShack Corp was incorporated in 1967. The Company, along with its subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in the retail sale of consumer electronics goods and services through its RadioShack store chain. At December 31, 2013, it operated 4,297 U.S. company-operated stores under the RadioShack brand located throughout the United States, as well as in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. These stores are located in strip centers and shopping malls, as well as individual storefronts. Each location carries a broad assortment of both name brand and private brand consumer electronics products. The Company's product lines are categorized into two platforms; namely mobility and retail. Its mobility platform includes postpaid and prepaid wireless handsets, commissions, residual income, prepaid wireless airtime, tablet devices, and e-readers. The retail platform includes remaining consumer electronics product categories and related accessories; batteries and power products; and technical products. The Company has other sales channels and support operations such as: Dealer Outlets, RadioShack de Mexico, RadioShack.com, Distribution Centers, RadioShack Technology Services and RadioShack Global Sourcing. The Company owns or is licensed to use many trademarks and service marks related to its RadioShack stores in the United States and in foreign countries. Its private brand manufactured products are sold under the RadioShack, AUVIO, Enercell and Gigaware trademark. It also owns patents and patent applications relating to consumer electronics products. The Company competes in the sale of its products and services with several retail formats, including national, regional, and independent consumer electronics retailers. It competes with department and specialty retail stores in certain product categories. It competes with wireless providers in mobility platform through their own retail and online presence. It also competes with big-box retailers, discount and warehouse retailers, and Internet retailers. The Company is subject to foreign, federal, state, and local laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the Fair Labor Standards Act and ERISA, each as amended, and regulations promulgated by the Federal Trade Commission, SEC, Internal Revenue Service, Department of Labor, Occupational Safety and Health Administration, and Environmental Protection Agency.
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