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Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (Lexicon Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.89% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.89%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.89%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lexicon Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:LXRX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (Lexicon Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2445 Technology Forest Boulevard, 11th Floor, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77381
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in the discovery, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of human diseases. Some of its drugs candidates are LX9211, an orally-delivered small molecule drug candidate, as a treatment for neuropathic pain; and sotagliflozin, an orally-delivered small molecule drug candidate, as a treatment for heart failure and type 1 diabetes.
Executives
Philippe Amouyal director C/O CAVA GROUP, INC., 14 RIDGE SQUARE NW, SUITE 500, WASHINGTON DC 20016
Lonnel Coats director, officer: President and CEO 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Raymond Debbane director, 10 percent owner C/O THE INVUS GROUP, LLC, 750 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Thomas Garner officer: SVP, Chief Commercial Officer 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD, 11TH FLOOR, SPRING TX 77381
Jeffrey L Wade officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Wendy Mcdermott officer: VP, Human Resources 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., 11TH FLOOR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Diane E. Sullivan director C/O AMARIN CORPORATION PLC, 77 SIR JOHN ROGERSON'S QUAY, BLOCK C, DUBLIN 2 L2 D02 VK60
Artal International S.c.a. director, 10 percent owner VALLEY PARK, 44, RUE DE LA VALLEE, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2661
Invus Partners, Llc director, 10 percent owner 750 LEXINGTON AVE, 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ulys, Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O THE INVUS GROUP, LLC, 750 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kiernan Seth officer: VP, Chief Commercial Officer 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., 11TH FLOOR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Kenneth B. Kassler-taub officer: SVP, Regulatory & QA 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., 11TH FLOOR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Kristen Alexander officer: VP, Finance and Accounting 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., 11TH FLOOR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Craig B Granowitz officer: SVP, Chief Medical Officer 58 CHESTNUT STREET, UNIT #3, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
James F Tessmer officer: VP, Finance & Acctg 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381

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