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Ocean Shore Holding Co (Ocean Shore Holding Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Ocean Shore Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ocean Shore Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ocean Shore Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ocean Shore Holding Co  (NAS:OSHC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ocean Shore Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ocean Shore Holding Co (Ocean Shore Holding Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ocean Shore Holding Co was established in 1887. It is the holding company for Ocean City Home Bank. The Company is engaged in the business of directing, planning, and coordinating the business activities of the Bank. Ocean City Home Bank is a federally chartered savings bank. It operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering a range of financial services to consumers and businesses in its market area. It attracts deposits from the general public, small businesses and municipalities and uses those funds to originate a variety of consumer and commercial loans, which the Company holds for investment. Its lending activities include One- to Four-Family Residential Loans; Commercial and Multi-Family; Construction Loans; Commercial Loans; and Consumer Loans. It has legal authority to invest in various types of liquid assets, including U.S. Treasury obligations, securities of various federal agencies and of state and municipal governments, mortgage-backed securities and certificates of deposit of federally insured institutions. Its products include residential mortgage loans, commercial loans and mortgages, and home equity and other consumer loans. The Company competes with insurance companies, securities companies and specialty finance companies such as Bank of America, PNC Bank, Wells Fargo & Company, and TD Bank.
Executives
Samuel Young director C/O OCEAN SHORE HOLDING CO, 1001 ASBURY AVENUE, OCEAN CITY NJ 08226
Steven E Brady director, officer: Pres. & Chief Exec. Officer C/O OCEAN SHORE HOLDING CO, 1001 ASBURY AVENUE, OCEAN CITY NJ 08226
Dorothy Mccrosson director 1001 ASBURY AVENUE, OCEAN CITY NJ 08226

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