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Sow Good (Sow Good) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Sow Good Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sow Good's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sow Good Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sow Good  (NAS:SOWG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sow Good Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sow Good (Sow Good) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1440 N Union Bower Road, Irving, TX, USA, 75061
Sow Good Inc is engaged in manufacturing and marketing freeze-dried snacks, smoothies, and soups.
Executives
Joe Mueller director 6927 ALTAMONTE DRIVE, ROGERS AR 72758
Ira Goldfarb director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman (1) 1918 N. OLIVE ST, DALLAS TX 75201
Brad Berman director, 10 percent owner C/O LAKES ENTERTAINMENT, INC., 130 CHESHIRE LANE, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Claudia Goldfarb director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer (2) 1918 N. OLIVE STREET, APT. 3302, DALLAS TX 75201
Lyle Berman director, 10 percent owner 10275 WAYZATA BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Timothy James Creed director 3418 GOLF CLUB LN., NASHVILLE TN 37215
Brad Burke officer: Interim CFO 4049 PURDUE AVE, DALLAS TX 77225
Chris Ludeman director 6154 PARK LANE, DALLAS TX 75225
Greg Creed director 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
S-fdf, Llc 10 percent owner 1440 N. UNION BOWER RD., IRVIN TX 75061
Benjamin S Oehler director 10275 WAYZATA BLVD. SUITE 100, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Joseph J Lahti director 2975 SOMERSET LANE, LONG LAKE MN 55356
Kenneth Decubellis officer: Chief Executive Officer 10275 WAYZATA BOULEVARD, SUITE 310, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Neil I Sell 10 percent owner 3300 WELLS FARGO CENTER, 90 SOUTH 7TH STREET, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Michael Eisele officer: Chief Operating Officer 10275 WAYZATA BOULEVARD, MINNETONKA MN 55305