GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Wolf Energy Services Inc (OTCPK:WOEN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Wolf Energy Services (Wolf Energy Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 100.00% (As of May. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Wolf Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 100.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Wolf Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=23.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=100.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Wolf Energy Services  (OTCPK:WOEN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wolf Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wolf Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Wolf Energy Services (Wolf Energy Services) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
408 State Highway 135N, Kilgore, TX, USA, 75662
Wolf Energy Services Inc, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, provides transportation of frac sand and logistics services to hydraulic fracturing and drilling operations. Capstone procures and finances equipment for oilfield transportation service contractors. It operates in the transportation and logistics services business serving hydraulic fracking companies and assisting in their operations through Banner. The Company operates through Banner Midstream which has two operating subsidiaries: Pinnacle Frac Transport LLC and Capstone Equipment Leasing LLC.
Executives
Jay M. Puchir officer: CEO & President of Subsidiary 3333 PINNACLE HILLS PARKWAY, SUITE 220, ROGERS AR 72758
Jimmy Ray Galla director, officer: CEO and CFO 408 STATE HWY 135N, KILGORE TX 75662
Ecoark Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 303 PEARL PARKWAY SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78215
Jimmy Don Reedy director 303 PEARL PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78215
Raynard Veldman director 2011 ROYAL CREST, MANSFIELD TX 76063
Adele Dibella 10 percent owner 3500 BAYVIEW DRIVE, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33308
John Dibella director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 821 NW 57TH PLACE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Alberto Dibella director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3500 BAYVIEW DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301

Wolf Energy Services (Wolf Energy Services) Headlines

No Headlines