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Wolf Energy Services (Wolf Energy Services) Predictability Rank


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What is Wolf Energy Services Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Wolf Energy Services Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Wolf Energy Services Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Wolf Energy Services (Wolf Energy Services) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Wolf Energy Services Inc (OTCPK:WOEN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
TLSS ODFL SAIA TSX:TFII XPO KNX TSE:9064 SNDR ARCB TSE:9076 WERN SHSE:603056 RXO SHSE:600662 MRTN TSE:9075 SHSE:603569 SHSE:603223 HTLD HKSE:09956
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
408 State Highway 135N, Kilgore, TX, USA, 75662
Website
https://www.wolf-energy.com
Wolf Energy Services Inc, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, provides transportation of frac sand and logistics services to hydraulic fracturing and drilling operations. Capstone procures and finances equipment for oilfield transportation service contractors. It operates in the transportation and logistics services business serving hydraulic fracking companies and assisting in their operations through Banner. The Company operates through Banner Midstream which has two operating subsidiaries: Pinnacle Frac Transport LLC and Capstone Equipment Leasing LLC.
Executives
Jay M. Puchir officer: CEO & President of Subsidiary 3333 PINNACLE HILLS PARKWAY, SUITE 220, ROGERS AR 72758
Jimmy Ray Galla director, officer: CEO and CFO 408 STATE HWY 135N, KILGORE TX 75662
Ecoark Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 303 PEARL PARKWAY SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78215
Jimmy Don Reedy director 303 PEARL PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78215
Raynard Veldman director 2011 ROYAL CREST, MANSFIELD TX 76063
Adele Dibella 10 percent owner 3500 BAYVIEW DRIVE, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33308
John Dibella director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 821 NW 57TH PLACE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Alberto Dibella director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3500 BAYVIEW DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301

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