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AAR (AIR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $0.46 (As of Feb. 2024)


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What is AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was $0.415. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.46 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2024.

During the past 12 months, AAR's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -35.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of AAR was 132.10% per year. The lowest was -157.10% per year. And the median was -1.40% per year.

As of today (2024-05-01), AAR's current stock price is $69.14. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 was $0.46. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 150.30.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AAR was 165.02. The lowest was 19.66. And the median was 51.16.


AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 0.44 0.79 1.01 0.65

AAR Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.71 0.65 0.51 0.43 0.46

Competitive Comparison of AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, AAR's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=0.415/129.4194*129.4194
=0.415

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 129.4194.

AAR Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 1.624 100.373 2.094
201408 0.184 100.352 0.237
201411 0.238 99.635 0.309
201502 -0.699 99.032 -0.913
201505 -1.841 100.333 -2.375
201508 -2.242 100.548 -2.886
201511 0.925 100.135 1.196
201602 -1.215 100.040 -1.572
201605 2.347 101.355 2.997
201608 -0.308 101.617 -0.392
201611 -0.282 101.829 -0.358
201702 -0.327 102.779 -0.412
201705 0.813 103.256 1.019
201708 -0.762 103.587 -0.952
201711 0.081 104.072 0.101
201802 1.101 105.052 1.356
201805 0.797 106.148 0.972
201808 -0.889 106.383 -1.082
201811 -0.351 106.338 -0.427
201902 1.596 106.649 1.937
201905 1.092 108.048 1.308
201908 -1.054 108.245 -1.260
201911 0.251 108.519 0.299
202002 0.026 109.139 0.031
202005 -0.934 108.175 -1.117
202008 1.017 109.662 1.200
202011 0.683 109.793 0.805
202102 0.408 110.968 0.476
202105 0.559 113.576 0.637
202108 0.020 115.421 0.022
202111 0.351 117.269 0.387
202202 0.328 119.703 0.355
202205 0.902 123.323 0.947
202208 0.003 124.958 0.003
202211 -1.504 125.607 -1.550
202302 0.223 126.928 0.227
202305 1.079 128.314 1.088
202308 -0.792 129.538 -0.791
202311 0.286 129.548 0.286
202402 0.415 129.419 0.415

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


AAR  (NYSE:AIR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=69.14/0.46
=150.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AAR was 165.02. The lowest was 19.66. And the median was 51.16.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AAR (AIR) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government, and defense market. It operates in two segments namely Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services. The Aviation Services segment consists of aftermarket support and services businesses that provide spares and maintenance support for aircraft operated by it's commercial and government/defense customers. The Expeditionary Services segment consists of businesses that provide products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. Department of Defense, foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Aviation Services Segment.
Executives
Peter Pace director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Holmes John Mcclain Iii officer: Group Vice President 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Billy Nolen director 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Sean M. Gillen officer: VP-CFO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Eric Pachapa officer: VP, Controller and CAO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jessica A. Garascia officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Tracey Patterson officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Christopher A. Jessup officer: Vice President-CCO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jennifer L Vogel director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
John W Dietrich director
Anthony Anderson director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Gilbertson H John Jr director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Storch director, officer: President, CEO & Director C/O AAR CORP, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD IL 60007
Michael Ross Boyce director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Ellen M. Lord director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191