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AAR (AIR) Altman Z2-Score : 5.95 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is AAR Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

AAR has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.95, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAR's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AIR' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.38   Med: 5.97   Max: 6.98
Current: 5.95

During the past 13 years, AAR's highest Altman Z2-Score was 6.98. The lowest was 4.38. And the median was 5.97.


AAR Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAR's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAR Altman Z2-Score Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.09 5.37 6.24 6.92 6.35

AAR Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.98 6.35 6.01 6.12 5.95

Competitive Comparison of AAR's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



AAR Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

AAR's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.4019+3.26*0.4688+6.72*0.0514+1.05*1.368
=5.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,022 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,241 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $428 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $948 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 20.5 + 31.7 + -7.5 + 30.2 = $75 Mil.
Interest Expense was -11.9 + -6.2 + -5.8 + -5.2 = $-29 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $854 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1240.7 - 428.2)/2021.8
=0.4019

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=947.8/2021.8
=0.4688

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(74.9 - -29.1)/2021.8
=0.0514

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1168 - 0)/853.8
=1.368

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

AAR has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.95 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


AAR  (NYSE:AIR) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AAR Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AAR's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AAR (AIR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government, and defense market. It operates in two segments namely Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services. The Aviation Services segment consists of aftermarket support and services businesses that provide spares and maintenance support for aircraft operated by it's commercial and government/defense customers. The Expeditionary Services segment consists of businesses that provide products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. Department of Defense, foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Aviation Services Segment.
Executives
Peter Pace director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Holmes John Mcclain Iii officer: Group Vice President 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Billy Nolen director 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Sean M. Gillen officer: VP-CFO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Eric Pachapa officer: VP, Controller and CAO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jessica A. Garascia officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Tracey Patterson officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Christopher A. Jessup officer: Vice President-CCO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jennifer L Vogel director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
John W Dietrich director
Anthony Anderson director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Gilbertson H John Jr director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Storch director, officer: President, CEO & Director C/O AAR CORP, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD IL 60007
Michael Ross Boyce director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Ellen M. Lord director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191