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Leapfrog Enterprises (Leapfrog Enterprises) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-29.66 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Leapfrog Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Leapfrog Enterprises's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-29.66.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Leapfrog Enterprises's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Leapfrog Enterprises is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Leapfrog Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 0.71
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Leapfrog Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Leapfrog Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Leapfrog Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Leapfrog Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Mar15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Leapfrog Enterprises Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Leapfrog Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Leapfrog Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Leapfrog Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Leapfrog Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leapfrog Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Leapfrog Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Leapfrog Enterprises's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-2.570.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Leapfrog Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-2.570*11.5406
=-29.66

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-29.66-0.9975)/-29.66
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Leapfrog Enterprises  (NYSE:LF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Leapfrog Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Leapfrog Enterprises (Leapfrog Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Leapfrog Enterprises Inc was incorporated in 1997 in the State of Delaware. The Company is a developer of educational entertainment for children. It designs, develops, and markets technology-based learning products and related proprietary content for children around the world. It organizes, operates and assesses its business in two segments namely United States and International. The U.S. segment is responsible for the development, design, sales and marketing of multimedia learning platforms and related content, as well as learning toys, sold in the U.S. This segment markets and sells products directly to national and regional mass-market and specialty retailers and other retail stores and distributors. This segment also sells products through online store, App Center, and other Internet-based channels. The International segment is responsible for the localization, sales and marketing of multimedia learning platforms and related content, as well as learning toys, originally developed for the U.S. This segment markets and sells products to national and regional mass-market and specialty retailers and other outlets through the Company's offices in the United Kingdom, France, Canada and Mexico, as well as through distributors in various markets such as Australia, South Africa and Spain. The Company's multimedia learning platform products include features that facilitate learning experiences provided by libraries available in cartridge, print and digitally-downloadable forms. The LeapPad learning tablet line is children's learning tablets for children's aging three to nine, with built-in cameras for taking photographs and videos, and age-appropriate on-board content and utilities. LeapPad tablets are compatible with cartridge and digital content designed for LeapPads from LeapFrog Learning Library. The Company launched LeapPad3, a new version of 5 screen tablet line featuring a capacitive screen and faster processor, and LeapPad Ultra XDi, a revised version of LeapPad Ultra. The learning toys are generally designed for children from birth to age four and combine education, innovation and the joy of play. While the Company's products compete in the learning toy and electronic learning-aids markets, the multimedia learning platforms increasingly compete in a broader arena with a variety of consumer electronics products including tablet computers, eBook readers, mobile devices and gaming platforms. It also faces increased competition from creators of digital applications, software and content for children.
Executives
Caden Wang director 660 RIDGEWOOD AVENUE, MILL VALLEY CA 94961
William B Chiasson director C/O LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET, SUITE 150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
John Barbour director, officer: Chief Executive Officer LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET, SUITE 100, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Joanna Rees director LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET SUITE 100, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Lawrence Joseph Ellison 10 percent owner C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT CORPORATION, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Mollusk Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 101 YGNACIO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 310, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
Cephalopod Corp 10 percent owner 101 YGNACIO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 310, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
Lawrence Investments Llc 10 percent owner 101 YGNACIO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 310, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
David C Nagel director 1240 CROSSMAN AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Michael R Milken 10 percent owner 1250 4TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Lowell J Milken other: See Footnotes (7) (8) (9)
Hampstead Associates Llc other: See Footnotes (7) (8) (9)
Knowledge Universe Llc other: See Footnotes (7) (8) (9) 1250 FOURTH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Jeffrey G Katz director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President 520 MADISON AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10022
Steven B Fink director C/O KNOWLEDGE UNIVERSE, 844 MORAGA DRIVE, LOS ANGELES CA 90049

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