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Blue Biofuels (Blue Biofuels) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-0.10 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Blue Biofuels Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-21), Blue Biofuels's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-0.10.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Blue Biofuels's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Blue Biofuels is N/A.

The industry rank for Blue Biofuels's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BIOF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Chemicals industry.
Industry Median: 1.275
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Blue Biofuels Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blue Biofuels's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blue Biofuels Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Blue Biofuels Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Blue Biofuels Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Blue Biofuels's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Blue Biofuels's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Biofuels's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Blue Biofuels's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Biofuels's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Blue Biofuels Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 16.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Blue Biofuels's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 16.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 16.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.004.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Blue Biofuels's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.163)/(1+0.11) = 1.0477477477477
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.004*24.3791
=-0.10

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-0.1-0.08)/-0.1
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blue Biofuels  (OTCPK:BIOF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Blue Biofuels Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Blue Biofuels (Blue Biofuels) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3710 Buckeye Street, Suite 120, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA, 33410
Blue Biofuels Inc is a technology company focused on emerging technologies in the renewable energy, biofuels, and new technologies sectors. It developed a technology system called Cellulose-to-Sugar 2.0 (CTS 2.0) which is a mechanical/chemical dry process for converting cellulose material into sugar for use in the biofuels industry. It can convert any cellulosic material like grasses, wood, paper, farm waste, yard waste, forestry products, energy crops like hemp or King Grass, and the cellulosic portion of municipal solid waste into sugars and lignin, and subsequently into biofuels and bioplastics. This system produces sugar and chemically unmodified lignin among other by-products. The sugar can then be further converted into biofuels and the lignin into bioplastics.
Executives
Chris J Kneppers director NO 102 GRANDVIEW AVE, HOPEWELL NJ 08525
Benjamin Slager director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 165 SE 1ST AVE, DELRAY BEACH, FL 33444
Peter Zimeri director 1030 CITRUS WAY APT 104, DELRAY BEACH FL 33445
Edmund J Burke director 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Anthony Ii Santelli director, 10 percent owner, officer: CFO 9334 AMBER WOOD DRIVE, KIRTLAND OH 44094
Christopher J Jemapete 10 percent owner 6888 SOUTH IRVINGTON COURT, AURORA CO 80016
Pamela B Jemapete 10 percent owner 6888 SOUTH IRVINGTON COURT, AURORA CO 80016
George Bolton director 400 N. CONGRESS AVE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Charles Sills director 400 N. CONGRESS AVE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Liege Daniel De director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Joseph Mcnaney director 400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Richard Cohen officer: CFO C/O DUNE ENERGY, INC., TWO SHELL PLAZA, 777 WALKER STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Amg Energy Solutions, Inc. 10 percent owner 400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Mark W. Koch director, 10 percent owner 400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
W. Johan Sturm 10 percent owner 400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401