Blue Biofuels (Blue Biofuels) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Blue Biofuels Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Blue Biofuels Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Blue Biofuels Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blue Biofuels's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Blue Biofuels (Blue Biofuels) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Blue Biofuels Inc (OTCPK:BIOF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3710 Buckeye Street, Suite 120, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA, 33410

Website

https://www.bluebiofuels.com

Blue Biofuels Inc is a technology company focused on emerging technologies in the renewable energy, biofuels, and new technologies sectors. It developed a technology system called Cellulose-to-Sugar 2.0 (CTS 2.0) which is a mechanical/chemical dry process for converting cellulose material into sugar for use in the biofuels industry. It can convert any cellulosic material like grasses, wood, paper, farm waste, yard waste, forestry products, energy crops like hemp or King Grass, and the cellulosic portion of municipal solid waste into sugars and lignin, and subsequently into biofuels and bioplastics. This system produces sugar and chemically unmodified lignin among other by-products. The sugar can then be further converted into biofuels and the lignin into bioplastics.

Executives

Chris J Kneppers	director	NO 102 GRANDVIEW AVE, HOPEWELL NJ 08525
Benjamin Slager	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO	165 SE 1ST AVE, DELRAY BEACH, FL 33444
Peter Zimeri	director	1030 CITRUS WAY APT 104, DELRAY BEACH FL 33445
Edmund J Burke	director	1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Anthony Ii Santelli	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CFO	9334 AMBER WOOD DRIVE, KIRTLAND OH 44094
Christopher J Jemapete	10 percent owner	6888 SOUTH IRVINGTON COURT, AURORA CO 80016
Pamela B Jemapete	10 percent owner	6888 SOUTH IRVINGTON COURT, AURORA CO 80016
George Bolton	director	400 N. CONGRESS AVE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Charles Sills	director	400 N. CONGRESS AVE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Liege Daniel De	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Joseph Mcnaney	director	400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Richard Cohen	officer: CFO	C/O DUNE ENERGY, INC., TWO SHELL PLAZA, 777 WALKER STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Amg Energy Solutions, Inc.	10 percent owner	400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Mark W. Koch	director, 10 percent owner	400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
W. Johan Sturm	10 percent owner	400 NORTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 130, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401