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Foundation Medicine (Foundation Medicine) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Foundation Medicine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-22), Foundation Medicine's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Foundation Medicine's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Foundation Medicine is N/A%.

The industry rank for Foundation Medicine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FMI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry.
Industry Median: 1.27
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Foundation Medicine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Foundation Medicine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Foundation Medicine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Foundation Medicine Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Foundation Medicine Quarterly Data
Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18
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Competitive Comparison of Foundation Medicine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Foundation Medicine's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Foundation Medicine's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Foundation Medicine's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foundation Medicine's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Foundation Medicine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.43%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Foundation Medicine's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Foundation Medicine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-137.00)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Foundation Medicine  (NAS:FMI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Foundation Medicine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Foundation Medicine (Foundation Medicine) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Foundation Medicine Inc is a molecular diagnostics company that specializes in the evaluation and treatment of cancer. Its products provide genetic information about a patient's cancer that is used by physicians to inform clinical decisions and by biopharmaceutical companies to develop targeted oncology therapies. Foundation Medicine's core molecular information products include FoundationOne, for solid tumors, and FoundationOne Heme, for blood-based cancers and hematologic malignancies. The vast majority of the firm's revenue is generated within the United States.
Executives
Alexis Borisy director C/O COMBINATORX, INCORPORATED, 245 FIRST STREET, 16TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Vincent A. Miller officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B3501, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Michael J Pellini director 222 DUTTON MILL RD, WILLISTOWN PA 19380
Jason Ryan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B3501, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Troy Cox director, officer: President and CEO C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., 150 SECON, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Robert W. Hesslein officer: SVP and General Counsel C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B3501, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Thomas Civik officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., 150 SECOND STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Evan/ Fa Jones director C/O OPGEN, INC., 708 QUINCE ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 205, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Michael R Dougherty director C/O ADOLOR CORP, 700 PENNSYLVANIA DR, EXTON PA 19341
Roche Finance Ltd director, 10 percent owner, other: See footnote (1) C/O HOFFMAN LA ROCHE, 124 GRENSACHERSTRASSE CH 4002, BASEL SWITZERLAND V8
Roche Holding Ltd director, 10 percent owner, other: See footnote (1) ROCHE HOLDING, LTD., GRENZACHERSTRASSE 124, BASEL V8 CH-4070
David P Schenkein director C/O BLUEBIRD BIO, INC., 840 MEMORIAL DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Robert I Tepper 10 percent owner 201 BROOKLINE AVE, SUITE 1401, BOSTON MA 02215
Mark J Levin 10 percent owner 29 NEWBURY STREET, 3RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Third Rock Ventures Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THIRD ROCK VENTURES, 29 NEWBURY STREET, 3RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116