GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » ITEX Corp (OTCPK:ITEX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

ITEX (ITEX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $8.23 (As of May. 01, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is ITEX Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), ITEX's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $8.23.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

ITEX's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for ITEX is 45.32%.

The industry rank for ITEX's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ITEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 0.87
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

ITEX Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for ITEX's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ITEX Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

ITEX Annual Data
Trend Jul09 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

ITEX Semi-Annual Data
Jul99 Jul00 Jul01 Jul02 Jul03 Jul04 Jul05 Jul06 Jul07 Jul08 Jul09 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of ITEX's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, ITEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ITEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, ITEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ITEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



ITEX Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> ITEX's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 1.40%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.713.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

ITEX's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.713*11.5406
=8.23

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(8.23-4.50)/8.23
=45.32 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ITEX  (OTCPK:ITEX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


ITEX Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ITEX's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ITEX (ITEX) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13555 South East 36th Street, Suite 210, Bellevue, WA, USA, 98006
ITEX Corp operates a marketplace in which products and services are exchanged by marketplace members utilizing virtual currency. Its Marketplace provides a forum for members to purchase from and sell their products and services to other members using ITEX dollars instead of the United States dollars and Canadian dollars (USD or cash). It administers the marketplace and provides record-keeping and payment transaction processing services for its members. They generate revenue by charging members percentage-based transaction fees, association fees, and other fees assessed in United States dollars and Canadian dollars.
Executives
Lion Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Biglari Capital Corp. 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Kevin H Callan director 3326 160TH AVE. SE, STE. 100, BELLEVUE WA 98008
Timothy R Morones director 3326 160TH AVE SE STE 100, BELLEVUE WA 98008
Sardar Biglari, 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses C/O BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC., 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Biglari Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 17802 IH 10 WEST, SUITE 400, SAN ANTONIO TX 78257
Western Sizzlin Corp 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 317 KIMBALL AVENUE NW, ROANOKE VA 24016
G. Andrew Cooke 10 percent owner 3110 9TH ROAD N. APT. B, ARLINGTON VA 22201
David Polonitza 10 percent owner 54B SANDRA CIRCLE, APT B1, WESTFIELD NJ 07090
Pagidipati Family Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 2955 SE 3RD COURT, OCALA FL 34471
Corner Market Capital Corp 10 percent owner BOX 36, #1620 - 1140 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E-4G1
Sanjeev Parsad 10 percent owner 21-355 DUTHIE AVENUE, BURNABY A1 V5A-2P3
Alnesh Mohan 10 percent owner 702-583 BEACH CRESCENT, VANCOUVER A1 V6Z-3E6
Corner Market Capital U.s., Inc. 10 percent owner BOX 36, #1620 - 1140 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E-4G1
Mpic Fund I Lp 10 percent owner 1199 WEST PENDER STREET, SUITE 680, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 2R1

ITEX (ITEX) Headlines

From GuruFocus

ITEX Corp: Undervalued?

By Mark Yu Mark Yu 07-20-2016

ITEX Corporation Major Shareholder Interview

By guruek Saj Karsan 04-15-2010