Lesaka Technologies (Lesaka Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $5.70 (As of Jun. 04, 2024)

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What is Lesaka Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-04), Lesaka Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $5.70.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Lesaka Technologies's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Lesaka Technologies is 18.60%.

The industry rank for Lesaka Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LSAK's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Lesaka Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lesaka Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lesaka Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Lesaka Technologies Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Lesaka Technologies Quarterly Data
	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Lesaka Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Lesaka Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Lesaka Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Lesaka Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lesaka Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Lesaka Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 19%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 12.27%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Lesaka Technologies's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 33.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.355.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Lesaka Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.19) = 1.0084033613445
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.19) = 0.87394957983193

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.355

16.053

5.70

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(5.7	-	4.64)	/	5.7
	=	18.60 %

Lesaka Technologies (NAS:LSAK) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Lesaka Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Lesaka Technologies (Lesaka Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Lesaka Technologies Inc (NAS:LSAK) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

LSK:South Africa

Address

Corner Jan Smuts Avenue and Bolton Road, President Place, 4th Floor, Rosebank, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196

Website

https://www.lesakatech.com

Lesaka Technologies Inc provides payment solutions, transaction processing solutions, and financial technologies. The company operates two reportable segments: Merchant and Consumer. The company operates mainly within South Africa. The Merchant segment that derives majority revenue includes activities related to the provision of goods and services provided to corporate and other juristic entities. It earns fees from processing activities performed for its customers and revenue generated from the distribution of prepaid airtime. The Consumer segment includes activities related to the provision of financial services to customers, including bank accounts, loans, and insurance products. The firm charges monthly administration fees for all bank accounts.

Executives

Ali Mazanderani	director	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD., ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Value Capital Partners (pty) Ltd	10 percent owner	ROSEBANK LINK, 173 OXFORD ROAD, 8TH FLOOR, GAUTENG T3 2196
Meyer Christopher G.b.	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Sharron Venessa Naidoo	director	643 WILLOWGROVE ROAD, DAINFERN T3 2055
Lincoln Camagu Mali	officer: CEO: South Africa	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Steven John Heilbron	director, officer: Connect Grp Chief Exec Officer	C/O SOUVARIS PROPERTIES 45 PTY LTD, 139 KLOOF ROAD, CLIFTON T3 8005
Monde Nkosi	director	C/O VALUE CAPITAL PARTNERS, 173 OXFORD ROAD, ROSEBANK LINK 8TH FLOOR, GAUTENG T3 2196
Anthony C Ball	director	PRIVATE BAG XI, NORTHLANDS T3 2116
Naeem Ebrahim Kola	director, officer: Group Chief Financial Officer	VILLA E2, STREET E13, DISTRICT 5, JUMEIRAH PARK, DUBAI C0 00000
Nonkululeko Nompumelelo Gobodo	director	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Nunthakumarin Pillay	officer: Managing Dir.: South Africa	PRESIDENT PLACE, 4TH FLOOR, CNR. JAN SMUTS AVENUE AND BOLTON ROAD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 T3
Jabulane Albert Mabuza	director	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD., ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Javed Hamid	director	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUT AVE & BOLTON RD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000
Ekta Singh-bushell	director	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Kubandiran Pillay	director	C/O NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4TH FL CNR JAN SMUTS AVE & BOLTON RD, ROSEBANK, JOHANNESBURG T3 00000