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Natural Food International Holding (HKSE:01837) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.04 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Natural Food International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Natural Food International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.04. The stock price of Natural Food International Holding is HK$0.61. Therefore, Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Food International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01837' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44   Med: 0.51   Max: 0.6
Current: 0.59

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Natural Food International Holding was 0.60. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 0.51.

HKSE:01837's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.58% of 1239 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.16 vs HKSE:01837: 0.59

Natural Food International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natural Food International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natural Food International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Natural Food International Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 0.89 0.93 1.04

Natural Food International Holding Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 - 0.93 - 1.04

Competitive Comparison of Natural Food International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Natural Food International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Natural Food International Holding's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$108.50.

Natural Food International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*108.498+1526.66*0.8)/2162.640
=1.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natural Food International Holding  (HKSE:01837) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Natural Food International Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.61/1.0423681738334
=0.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natural Food International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Natural Food International Holding (HKSE:01837) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Yuehei Street, No. 8 Haitian 1st Road, 7th Floor, West Tower, Baidu International Building, Binhai Community, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN
Natural Food International Holding Ltd is a natural health food company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in processing and selling natural health food in the People's Republic of China. The group sells its products through an extensive network of offline concessionary counters as well as online channels, including e-commerce platforms and self-operated WeChat member stores, of which the majority of revenue is derived through sales made by offline channels. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from the People's Republic of China.

Natural Food International Holding (HKSE:01837) Headlines

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