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Stara Planina Holding AD (XBUL:SPH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : лв17.42 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Stara Planina Holding AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-06), Stara Planina Holding AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is лв17.42. The stock price of Stara Planina Holding AD is лв10.60. Therefore, Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Stara Planina Holding AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:SPH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 0.58   Max: 1.4
Current: 0.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Stara Planina Holding AD was 1.40. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 0.58.

XBUL:SPH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.42% of 1913 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.49 vs XBUL:SPH: 0.61

Stara Planina Holding AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Stara Planina Holding AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Stara Planina Holding AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Stara Planina Holding AD Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.88 14.76 15.55 15.12 15.71

Stara Planina Holding AD Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.15 15.71 16.54 16.46 17.42

Competitive Comparison of Stara Planina Holding AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Stara Planina Holding AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Stara Planina Holding AD's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = лв26.78.

Stara Planina Holding AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*26.7752+133.619*0.8)/20.775
=17.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Stara Planina Holding AD  (XBUL:SPH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Stara Planina Holding AD's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.60/17.415379930314
=0.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Stara Planina Holding AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Stara Planina Holding AD (XBUL:SPH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20, Frederic Joliot-Curie Street, 9th Floor, Sofia, BGR, 1113
Stara Planina Holding AD is a holding company. The company is engaged in the acquisition, management, evaluation and sale of shareholdings in Bulgarian and foreign companies; acquisition, management and sale of bonds, evaluation and sale of patents, transfer of licenses for the use of patents, belonging to companies where the holding company has participation; financing companies where the holding company has participations; other commercial operations, except those prohibited by law. The investment portfolio of the holding is distributed mainly in the following industries, Machine Building; Electrical Engineering, Light Industry and Financial.