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China Qinfa Group (HKSE:00866) Beneish M-Score : -3.38 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00866' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.06   Med: -4.6   Max: -1.88
Current: -3.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Qinfa Group was -1.88. The lowest was -10.06. And the median was -4.60.


China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Qinfa Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -1.88 -2.50 -3.38

China Qinfa Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 - -2.50 - -3.38

Competitive Comparison of China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Qinfa Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7988+0.528 * 1.3184+0.404 * 1.0158+0.892 * 0.8904+0.115 * 1.0629
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.073+4.679 * -0.160349-0.327 * 1.1005
=-3.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$357 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,773 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$960 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,020 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,594 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,544 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,009 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$328 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$5,656 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,856 Mil.
Net Income was HK$219 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,597 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$501 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,237 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,422 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,239 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,767 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,497 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,075 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$6,880 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$84 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(356.551 / 3772.642) / (501.276 / 4236.859)
=0.09451 / 0.118313
=0.7988

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1421.894 / 4236.859) / (960.36 / 3772.642)
=0.335601 / 0.254559
=1.3184

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2019.604 + 6543.856) / 8594.447) / (1 - (2239.118 + 6496.576) / 8766.804)
=0.003605 / 0.003549
=1.0158

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3772.642 / 4236.859
=0.8904

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1075.44 / (1075.44 + 6496.576)) / (1009.239 / (1009.239 + 6543.856))
=0.142028 / 0.133619
=1.0629

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(327.97 / 3772.642) / (343.262 / 4236.859)
=0.086934 / 0.081018
=1.073

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1856.403 + 5656.158) / 8594.447) / ((83.576 + 6880.005) / 8766.804)
=0.874118 / 0.794312
=1.1005

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(219.134 - 0 - 1597.243) / 8594.447
=-0.160349

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Qinfa Group has a M-score of -3.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Qinfa Group (HKSE:00866) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1 Pazhou Avenue East, Unit Nos. 2201 to 2208, Level 22, South Tower, Poly International Plaza, Haizhu District, Guangzhou, CHN
China Qinfa Group Ltd is a Hong-Kong based firm engaged in coal operation business involving coal mining, purchases and sales, filtering, storage, the blending of coal in the PRC, and shipping transportation. The company operates its business through two segments namely Coal and Shipping transportation segments. Coal business segment covers coal mining, purchases and sales, filtering, storage and blending of coal in the PRC, and Shipping transportation segment provides services of time charter and voyage charter of vessels. It has a business presence in the PRC and other countries, of which the majority of the revenue is generated within the PRC.

China Qinfa Group (HKSE:00866) Headlines

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