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TFS Financial (TFS Financial) Beneish M-Score : -2.24 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is TFS Financial Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TFS Financial's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TFSL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.13
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TFS Financial was -2.13. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.55.


TFS Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TFS Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2494+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.993+0.892 * 0.9822+0.115 * 1.156
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0412+4.679 * 0.001497-0.327 * 0.9568
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $55.6 Mil.
Revenue was 75.407 + 75.463 + 74.622 + 74.597 = $300.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 75.407 + 75.463 + 74.622 + 74.597 = $300.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,132.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,053.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $34.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $18.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $148.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $18.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,059.8 Mil.
Net Income was 20.707 + 19.546 + 17.603 + 15.908 = $73.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 36.326 + 13.826 + 33.77 + -35.684 = $48.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was $45.3 Mil.
Revenue was 80.314 + 79.891 + 76.979 + 68.332 = $305.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 80.314 + 79.891 + 76.979 + 68.332 = $305.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $962.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,129.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $35.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $24.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $144.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,015.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(55.614 / 300.089) / (45.317 / 305.516)
=0.185325 / 0.148329
=1.2494

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(305.516 / 305.516) / (300.089 / 300.089)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1132.557 + 34.209) / 17053.791) / (1 - (962.029 + 35.252) / 16128.977)
=0.931583 / 0.938168
=0.993

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=300.089 / 305.516
=0.9822

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(24.051 / (24.051 + 35.252)) / (18.487 / (18.487 + 34.209))
=0.405561 / 0.350824
=1.156

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(147.973 / 300.089) / (144.687 / 305.516)
=0.493097 / 0.473582
=1.0412

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5059.765 + 18.049) / 17053.791) / ((5015.787 + 3.295) / 16128.977)
=0.297753 / 0.311184
=0.9568

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(73.764 - 0 - 48.238) / 17053.791
=0.001497

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TFS Financial has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


TFS Financial Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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TFS Financial (TFS Financial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7007 Broadway Avenue, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44105
TFS Financial Corp is the holding company for the Third Federal Savings and Loan Association of Cleveland. The company's ownership in the savings and loan association is its primary business activity. The association's principal business consists of originating and servicing residential real estate mortgage loans and attracting retail savings deposits. It does so by offering products with competitive rates and yields. The company also operates Third Capital, a wholly owned subsidiary that serves as a holding company or as an investor in vehicles such as private equity funds. Third Capital has interests in lease transactions of commercial buildings, title agencies providing escrow and settlement services, and reinsurance of private mortgage insurance on residential loans.
Executives
Daniel Fabian Weir director 7007 BROADWAY AVE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Russell Clay Holmes officer: Chief Retail Officer 7007 BROADWAY, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Meredith S Weil officer: Chief Retail Officer 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Ashley H Williams director 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Benjamin Stefanski Gavin officer: Chief Lending Officer 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Marc A Stefanski director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Barbara J. Anderson director 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Anthony J Asher director 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Timothy W Mulhern officer: Finance Manager - Future CFO 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Martin J Cohen director 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Bradley Taylor Stefanski officer: Chief Strategy Officer 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Paul J Huml officer: Chief Operating Officer 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
Robert A Fiala director 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105
William C Mulligan director 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Susanne Noel Miller officer: Chief Accounting Officer 7007 BROADWAY AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44105