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Horai Co (TSE:9679) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Horai Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horai Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9679' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.65   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Horai Co was -2.24. The lowest was -3.65. And the median was -2.57.


Horai Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Horai Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Horai Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Horai Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.24 -2.98 -2.33 -2.48

Horai Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.48 - -

Competitive Comparison of Horai Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Horai Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Horai Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Horai Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horai Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Horai Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Horai Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.981+0.528 * 0.9563+0.404 * 1.0503+0.892 * 1.0502+0.115 * 0.9492
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9881+4.679 * -0.007636-0.327 * 0.9643
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円361 Mil.
Revenue was 円5,186 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,217 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,782 Mil.
Total Assets was 円18,854 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円13,605 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円340 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円690 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,240 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,679 Mil.
Net Income was 円513 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円657 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円350 Mil.
Revenue was 円4,938 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,108 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,930 Mil.
Total Assets was 円18,878 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円13,549 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円321 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円665 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,255 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,815 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(360.657 / 5185.512) / (350.075 / 4937.592)
=0.069551 / 0.0709
=0.981

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1108.308 / 4937.592) / (1217.142 / 5185.512)
=0.224463 / 0.23472
=0.9563

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3782.191 + 13605.266) / 18853.956) / (1 - (3930.395 + 13549.18) / 18877.628)
=0.077782 / 0.074059
=1.0503

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5185.512 / 4937.592
=1.0502

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(320.768 / (320.768 + 13549.18)) / (339.755 / (339.755 + 13605.266))
=0.023127 / 0.024364
=0.9492

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(689.623 / 5185.512) / (664.592 / 4937.592)
=0.13299 / 0.134598
=0.9881

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2679.306 + 1240.45) / 18853.956) / ((2814.817 + 1255.066) / 18877.628)
=0.207901 / 0.215593
=0.9643

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(513.045 - 0 - 657.013) / 18853.956
=-0.007636

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Horai Co has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Horai Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Horai Co (TSE:9679) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 14, Number 5, Ginza, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0061
Horai Co Ltd is engaged in the life insurance business, leasing and management of buildings and real estate, manufacture and sale of milk and dairy products, breeding, milking, and fed production of dairy cattle, and management of restaurants and tourist facilities.

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