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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (WAR:ZAP) Beneish M-Score : -6.85 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -6.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:ZAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.14   Med: -2.66   Max: -1.53
Current: -6.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy was -1.53. The lowest was -9.14. And the median was -2.66.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Annual Data
Trend Jun13 Jun14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -3.15 -2.61 -3.16 -3.22

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.20 -3.22 -2.45 -9.14 -6.85

Competitive Comparison of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7677+0.528 * -3.8698+0.404 * 2.4433+0.892 * 0.5728+0.115 * 0.8906
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6675+4.679 * -0.537492-0.327 * 1.192
=-6.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł510 Mil.
Revenue was 1007.771 + 1166.107 + 1229.414 + 1855.421 = zł5,259 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9.026 + -111.219 + -238.318 + 75.785 = zł-265 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,271 Mil.
Total Assets was zł6,551 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł3,886 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł262 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł539 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł2,762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł188 Mil.
Net Income was -130.328 + -246.351 + -282.229 + -511.937 = zł-1,171 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 655.89 + 830.001 + -24.859 + 889.138 = zł2,350 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł503 Mil.
Revenue was 2124.735 + 2226.391 + 2692.19 + 2137.789 = zł9,181 Mil.
Gross Profit was 58.935 + 543.191 + 707.929 + 478.457 = zł1,789 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł3,358 Mil.
Total Assets was zł7,668 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł4,122 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł246 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł2,709 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł189 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(509.527 / 5258.713) / (503.233 / 9181.105)
=0.096892 / 0.054812
=1.7677

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1788.512 / 9181.105) / (-264.726 / 5258.713)
=0.194804 / -0.05034
=-3.8698

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2270.741 + 3886.478) / 6550.829) / (1 - (3358.294 + 4121.559) / 7668.437)
=0.060086 / 0.024592
=2.4433

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5258.713 / 9181.105
=0.5728

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(246.052 / (246.052 + 4121.559)) / (262.456 / (262.456 + 3886.478))
=0.056336 / 0.063259
=0.8906

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(538.741 / 5258.713) / (564.08 / 9181.105)
=0.102447 / 0.061439
=1.6675

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((187.843 + 2762.426) / 6550.829) / ((188.676 + 2708.671) / 7668.437)
=0.450366 / 0.377828
=1.192

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1170.845 - 0 - 2350.17) / 6550.829
=-0.537492

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy has a M-score of -6.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (WAR:ZAP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Al. Tysiaclecia Panstwa Polskiego 13, Pulawy, POL, 24-110
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy SA is a manufacturer and supplier of mineral fertilizers, basic chemicals and also involved in the procurement of raw materials and consumables. The company's segment includes Agro; Plastics; Energy and Other Activities. It generates maximum revenue from the Agro segment. The Agro Segment comprises the manufacturing of ammonia and products derived from the processing of ammonia, in particular urea and its solutions, including urea-ammonium nitrate solution, melamine, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, technical gases, hydrogen peroxide, as well as phosphorus, potassium and blended fertilizers.

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