Affinity Bancshares (Affinity Bancshares) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Affinity Bancshares Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Affinity Bancshares Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Affinity Bancshares Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Affinity Bancshares's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Affinity Bancshares (Affinity Bancshares) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Affinity Bancshares Inc (NAS:AFBI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3175 Highway 278, Covington, GA, USA, 30014

Website

https://www.myaffinitybank.com

Affinity Bancshares Inc is a holding company of Affinity Bank, a federally chartered stock savings bank that offers a variety of deposit accounts, including checking accounts, savings accounts, and certificate of deposit accounts. Its business consists of taking deposits from the general public and investing those deposits, together with funds generated from operations, in commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, and residential real estate loans, construction and land loans, and consumer loans. It also invests in securities, which consist of mortgage-backed securities and obligations issued by United States government-sponsored enterprises and Federal Home Loan Bank stock.

Executives

Howard G Roberts	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Robin S Reich	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Edward John Cooney	director, officer: CEO	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Robert Vickers	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Kenneth R Lehman	10 percent owner	122 N GORDON ROAD, FT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Clark Nelson	officer: EVP and CCO	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Elizabeth Galazka	officer: EVP-Lending	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Brandi C Pajot	officer: SVP - Chief Financial Officer	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Gregory J. Proffitt	officer: President	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Tessa M. Nolan	officer: SVP and CFO	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Fortson William D. Jr.	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Bob W. Richardson	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Edward P. Stone	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Marshall L. Ginn	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014
Mark J Ross	director	3175 HIGHWAY 278, COVINGTON GA 30014

Affinity Bancshares (Affinity Bancshares) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Affinity Bancshares, Inc. Adopts Second Stock Repurchase Program

By Business Wire Business Wire • 10-31-2022

Affinity Bancshares Inc (AFBI) Announces Q3 2023 Financial Results

By GuruFocus Research • 10-26-2023

Affinity Bancshares, Inc. Adopts Stock Repurchase Program

By Business Wire Business Wire • 01-27-2022

Affinity Bancshares, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2023 Financial Results

By Business Wire • 07-27-2023

Is Affinity Bancshares Inc Undervalued Following the Latest Insider Buy?

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor • 05-18-2023