GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » ACC Aviation Holdings Ltd (OTCPK:CAVG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

ACC Aviation Holdings (ACC Aviation Holdings) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is ACC Aviation Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ACC Aviation Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

ACC Aviation Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ACC Aviation Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

ACC Aviation Holdings (ACC Aviation Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » ACC Aviation Holdings Ltd (OTCPK:CAVG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
VCXB BCSA BFAC ISRL ALSA ESHA EMLD ATEK IBAC PEGR BOM:543385 PBAJ CVII AACT LSE:ADMR ANSC NETD WFHG SCRM RRAC
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
South Chuangyan Road, Room 303, Science and Technology Incubation Park, Jiangyou Industrial Park, Sichuan Province, Jiangyou, CHN, 90067
Website
https://www.elgato.com
ACC Aviation Holdings Ltd currently has no business operations.
Executives
Shai Marco Cohen 10 percent owner 5509 WINDMIER CIRCLE, DALLAS TX 75252
Mnsco, Llc 10 percent owner 1 BEN GURION ST., B.S.R. TOWER 2, BUEI BRAK L3 5120149
Oded Gilboa officer: Chief Financial Officer 23 AKIVA STREET, #14, RAANANA L3 4326103
Michael D Greenfield director P O B 12526, HERZLIYA PILEACH L3 46733
Pete Mateja officer: CEO 207 PIAGET AVENUE, CLIFTON NJ 07011
Joseph Bahat director 2 HABAAL-SHEM-TOV STREET, HERZLIA L3 46342
Jacob Enoch director #4 SHNITZER SHMUEL ST, TEL-AVIV L3 695
Edward Braniff officer: Interim CEO & CFO 207 PIAGET AVENUE, CLIFTON NJ 07011
Jerome Chaney officer: CEO and President 207 PIAGET AVENUE, CLIFTON NJ 07011
Aharon Y Levinas director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 8 04 ARNOT PLACE, FAIR LOAN NJ 07410
Tamir Levinas director 60 12 MAZE STREET, TEL AVIV L3 65789
Robert Lubin director TEL AVIV, TEL AVIV L3 00000
Amir Uziel director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO RISHON LEZION, RISHON LEZION L3 75749
Adam Jacob Somer director, officer: Treasurer 2753 BROADWAY 197, NEW YORK NY 10025
Matthew Haney director 1368 S ALPINE LOOP, PROVO UT 84606

ACC Aviation Holdings (ACC Aviation Holdings) Headlines

No Headlines