Voip-Pal.com (Voip-Pal.com) Predictability Rank

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What is Voip-Pal.com Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Voip-Pal.com Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Voip-Pal.com (Voip-Pal.com) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Telecommunication Services » Voip-Pal.com Inc (OTCPK:VPLM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

7215 Bosque Boulevard, Suite 102, Waco, TX, USA, 76710-4020

Website

https://www.voip-pal.com

Voip-Pal.com Inc is a us-based development stage company. It operates in one reportable segment being the acquisition and development of VoIP-related intellectual property including patents and technology. The company provides a proprietary transactional billing platform to serve the points and air mile business, and a provider of anti-virus applications for smartphones.

Executives

Dennis Chang	officer: PRESIDENT	117 E LOUISA STREET, SEATTLE WA 98102
Barbara Baggio	other: WIFE OF CEO	3702 1211 MELVILLE ST, VANCOUVER A1 V6E0A7
Kevin Bryan Williams	director, officer: CFO	3933 CLAYTON ROAD WEST, FORT WORTH TX 76116
Howard Clifton Saylor	director	801 WINCREST PLACE, GREAT FALLS VA 22066-2736
Magdi Emil Malak	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO	773 HORNBY STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6Z1S4
Donald Barry Lee	other: CFO	283-1755 ROBSON STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6G3B7
Ryan Leroy Thomas	director	2740 E 1700 N, LAYTON UT 84040
Jin Kuang	officer: CFO	717 GROVER AVENUE, COQUITLAM A1 V3J3C7