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AVANIR Pharmaceuticals (FRA:AV2B) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Sep. 2014)


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What is AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's highest Forward Rate of Return was 9.40. The lowest was -370.80. And the median was -11.95.

FRA:AV2B's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 8.4
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Sep05 Sep06 Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -55.06 -35.80 6.41 7.10 -

AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.10 4.59 1.81 3.08 -

Competitive Comparison of AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/9.383+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AVANIR Pharmaceuticals  (FRA:AV2B) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AVANIR Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AVANIR Pharmaceuticals (FRA:AV2B) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Avanir Pharmaceuticals was incorporated in California in August 1988 and was reincorporated in Delaware in March 2009. The Company is a biopharmaceutical company focused on acquiring, developing and commercializing novel therapeutic products for the treatment of central nervous system disorders. The Company commenced promotion of NUEDEXTA in the United States in February 2011. The Company is also studying AVP-923 for use in different types of neuropathic pain. NUEDEXTA is the first and only FDA-approved treatment for pseudobulbar affect. NUEDEXTA is an combination of two components: dextromethorphan hydrobromide, the ingredient that is harmacologically active in the central nervous system, and quinidine sulfate, a metabolic inhibitor enabling dextromethorphan to reach therapeutic plasma concentrations. The Company currently markets NUEDEXTA to approximately 10,000 physicians and other healthcare providers who specialize in psychiatry, neurology or geriatric medicine and practice in outpatient or long-term care settings. NUEDEXTA may face competition from several products: Antidepressants, including Prozac, Celexa, Zoloft, Paxil, Elavil and Pamelor and others; Atypical antipsychotic agents, including Zyprexa, Risperdal, Seroquel, Abilify, Geodon and others; and Miscellaneous agents, including Symmetrel, Lithium and others. The Company is subject to regulation under the Occupational Safety and Health Act, the Environmental Protection Act, the Toxic Substance Control Act, the Export Control Act and other present and future laws of general application.

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