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Dis-Chem Pharmacies (JSE:DCP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 15.60% (As of Feb. 2023)


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What is Dis-Chem Pharmacies Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Dis-Chem Pharmacies's forward rate of return for was 15.60%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:DCP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 13.99   Med: 15.66   Max: 19.15
Current: 15.24

During the past 10 years, Dis-Chem Pharmacies's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.15. The lowest was 13.99. And the median was 15.66.

JSE:DCP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
50.16% of 315 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 15.17 vs JSE:DCP: 15.24

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Dis-Chem Pharmacies Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dis-Chem Pharmacies Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Dis-Chem Pharmacies Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.08 17.99 14.36 14.14 15.60

Dis-Chem Pharmacies Semi-Annual Data
Feb14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 14.14 - 15.60 -

Competitive Comparison of Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Pharmaceutical Retailers subindustry, Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Dis-Chem Pharmacies Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return of Feb. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.49366667/27.05+0.1377
=15.60 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dis-Chem Pharmacies  (JSE:DCP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Dis-Chem Pharmacies Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dis-Chem Pharmacies (JSE:DCP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
23 Stag Road, Glen Austin, Midrand, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 1685
Dis-Chem Pharmacies Ltd is a pharmaceutical company based in South Africa. Its product portfolio includes personal care products, beauty products, healthcare and nutrition products, and dispensary and baby care products. The operating segments of the group are Retail and Wholesale. It derives maximum revenue from the Retail segment, which includes company stores, retailers of pharmaceutical and a variety of health and beauty products, as well as pharma-logistic services and oncology and retailers of pharmaceutical products. The Wholesale segment consists of the CJ wholesale and company distribution businesses, wholesalers of pharmaceuticals, and a variety of health and beauty products. Geographically, the group carries its business operations principally in South Africa.

Dis-Chem Pharmacies (JSE:DCP) Headlines