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Hillshire Brands Co (LTS:0Q8L) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -25.49% (As of Jun. 2014)


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What is Hillshire Brands Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Hillshire Brands Co's forward rate of return for was -25.49%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0Q8L' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -25.51   Med: -0.15   Max: 17.1
Current: -25.51

During the past 13 years, Hillshire Brands Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 17.10. The lowest was -25.51. And the median was -0.15.

LTS:0Q8L's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 7.8 vs LTS:0Q8L: -25.51

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Hillshire Brands Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hillshire Brands Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Hillshire Brands Co Annual Data
Trend Jun04 Jun05 Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.05 7.63 6.77 -0.28 -15.53

Hillshire Brands Co Quarterly Data
Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -15.53 -16.31 -20.13 -23.16 -25.49

Competitive Comparison of Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Hillshire Brands Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.05085714/44.985+-0.2493
=-22.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hillshire Brands Co  (LTS:0Q8L) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Hillshire Brands Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hillshire Brands Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hillshire Brands Co (LTS:0Q8L) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hillshire Brands Co was organized as a corporation in Baltimore, Maryland in 1941 as The C.D. Kenny Company, was renamed Sara Lee Corporation in 1985 and adopted its current name in June 2012. It is a manufacturer and marketer of food products. It provides meat-centric food solutions for the retail and foodservice markets. The Company's Brands' portfolio includes iconic brands such as Jimmy Dean, Ball Park, Hillshire Farm, State Fair, Sara Lee frozen bakery and Chef Pierre pies, as well as artisanal brands Aidells and Gallo Salame. Its operations are organized around two business segments - Retail and Foodservice/Other. Retail sells a variety of packaged meat and frozen bakery products to retail customers in North America. Products include hot dogs and corn dogs, breakfast sausages, breakfast convenience items, including breakfast sandwiches and bowls, dinner sausages, premium deli and luncheon meats and cooked hams, as well as frozen pies, cakes, cheesecakes and other desserts. The primary raw materials for the segment's products include pork and beef, which are purchased almost entirely from third party suppliers and independent farmers, and poultry. The branded meat business is highly competitive, with an emphasis on product quality, innovation and value. New product innovations are a key component to its success. The Retail segment competes with other international, national, regional and local companies in each of the product categories. Foodservice/Other sells a variety of meat and bakery products to foodservice customers in North America. Products include hot dogs and corn dogs, breakfast sausages and sandwiches, dinner sausages, premium deli and luncheon meats, ham, beef and turkey as well as a variety of bakery products, including pastries, muffins, frozen pies, cakes and cheesecakes. The primary raw materials for Foodservice/Other's products include pork, beef and poultry and, to a lesser extent, wheat flour, sugar, corn syrup, cooking oils, butter, fruit and eggs, which are purchased from independent suppliers and farmers. The Foodservice/Other segment competes with other international, national, regional and local companies in each of its product categories. It considers major mass retailers and supermarket chains in the United States to be its most significant customers. The Company is subject to regulations administered by the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the Food and Drug Administration.

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