What is NeurogesX Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. NeurogesX's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
NGSX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 8.495 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
NeurogesX Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
NeurogesX Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
NeurogesX Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2011 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0
/
0.821
+
0
=
0.00 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NeurogesX (OTCPK:NGSX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
NeurogesX Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NeurogesX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
NeurogesX, Inc. was incorporated in California as Advanced Analgesics, Inc. on May 28, 1998 and changed its name to NeurogesX, Inc. in September 2000. In February 2007, it reincorporated into Delaware. It is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel pain management therapies. It is assembling a portfolio of pain management product candidates based on known chemical entities to develop innovative new therapies that might offer substantial advantages over currently available treatment options. The Company's initial focus is on the management of chronic peripheral neuropathic pain conditions. The Company's first commercial product, Qutenza, the first prescription strength capsaicin product is a dermal delivery system designed to treat certain neuropathic pain conditions and was approved by the U.S, Food and Drug Administration, or FDA in November 2009 for the management of neuropathic pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia, or PHN. It is currently preparing to commercialize Qutenza in the United States with its own sales force and that Qutenza would be commercially available in the United States in the first half of 2010. Qutenza is a non-narcotic analgesic formulated in a localized treatment patch containing an 8% concentration of synthetic capsaicin. Capsaicin is released from the patch and, with the aid of penetration enhancers, penetrates into the skin during application without significant absorption of capsaicin into the bloodstream. The users of Qutenza are unlikely to experience the common central nervous system side effects of systemically administered drugs used to treat neuropathic pain such as anti-convulsants, anti-depressants and opioids and the potential for abuse and addiction associated with some of these drugs. It is currently evaluating the nature, scope and timing of continued development of Qutenza to support the potential for label expansion in the United States. Areas of potential focus for label expansion include HIV-distal sensory neuropathy, or HIV-DSP, also known as HIV-associated neuropathy, or HIV-AN, painful diabetic neuropathy, or PDN, and potentially other neuropathic pain indications. It expects that Qutenza would compete against, and may be used in combination with, well-established products currently used both on and off-label in its target indications. The most directly competitive currently marketed products in the United States are Lidoderm, an FDA-approved 5% lidocaine topical patch for the treatment of PHN marketed by Endo Pharmaceuticals, and Lyrica, an oral anti-convulsant, marketed by Pfizer for use in the treatment of PHN. Regulation by governmental authorities in the United States and other countries is a significant factor in the development, manufacture and marketing of pharmaceuticals.
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