The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Exelis has a Altman Z-Score of 1.98, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Exelis is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Exelis's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Exelis Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Exelis's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Exelis's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Exelis's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry
For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Exelis's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Exelis's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Exelis Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Exelis's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1969
+
1.4
*
0.1418
+
3.3
*
0.0703
+
0.6
*
1.2955
+
1.0
*
0.5409
=
1.98
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Exelis has a Altman Z-Score of 1.98 indicating it is in Grey Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Exelis (FRA:6EX) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Exelis Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Exelis Inc was incorporated in the state of Indiana on May 4, 2011. The Company is a diversified aerospace, defense, information and services Company. The Company operates in two segments: Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) Electronics and Systems and Information and Technical Services to military, government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The C4ISR Electronics and Systems segment provides engineered systems and solutions, including: ISR systems; integrated electronic warfare systems; radar and sonar systems; electronic attack and release systems; communications solutions; space systems; and composite aerostructures, for government and commercial customers. The Information and Technical Services segment provides a broad range of service solutions, including: systems integration; network design and development; air traffic management; cyber; intelligence; operations; sustainment; advanced engineering; logistics; and space launch and range-support, for U.S. military and U.S. Government customers. The C4ISR Electronics and Systems' products are classified into Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Systems, Integrated Electronic Warfare Systems, Electronic Attack and Release Systems, Radar, Reconnaissance and Undersea Systems, Communications Solutions, Night Vision, Positioning, Navigation and Timing, Aerostructures, and Specialty Applications. Information and Technical Services product lines are classified into Advanced Information Solutions, Civil and Aerospace Systems, Command, Control and Communications Systems, Infrastructure Asset Management, Logistics and Supply Chain Management, and Information Technology and Network Communication Services. The Company's customers include the United States Department of Defense, including U.S. Army, Navy, Marines and Air Force, U.S. Government intelligence agencies, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Federal Aviation Administration. The Company competes against companies such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, The Boeing Company, Raytheon Company, General Dynamics Corporation, L-3 Communications Corporation, SAIC Inc., Northrop Grumman Corporation, Harris Corporation and BAE Systems, Inc. Internationally, it also competes against these same companies as well as Thales Group, EADS N.V., Finmeccanica S.p.A., among others The Company is subject to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations.
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