10 Year Financial Data of Agrium Inc (NYSE:AGU)

88.81 (1y: +12%)

Market Cap	13.41 B	P/E(ttm)	9.40
Enterprise Value	16.75 B	P/B	2.00

AGU- NYSE (USA)
Agrium Inc

Currently 5/5

Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
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$88.81

2 Severe Warning Signs 2 Medium Warning Signs 1 Good Sign

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	22.6	17.1	3.1
EBITDA Growth (%)	18.6	17.4	5
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	0	-58.6
Book Value Growth (%)	26.8	15.1	11.5

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	19.52	19.64	25.42	31.77	38.84	63.09	58.15	66.58	97.91	107	105	22.97	43.25	18.75	21.74	21.64
EBITDA per Share	3.54	4.21	5.35	3.56	7.38	13.60	5.24	9.09	16.48	17.09	17.26	2.13	8.45	2.18	4.33	2.30
Free Cashflow per Share	0.70	2.54	2.06	-0.42	0.29	3.38	6.95	-0.75	3.59	5.37	2.72	2.83	1.01	-2.13	3.78	0.06
Earnings per Share ($)	-0.25	1.91	2.12	0.25	3.25	8.34	2.33	4.52	8.68	9.55	9.54	0.97	5.44	0.80	2.36	0.94
Dividends Per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.06	0.11	0.11	0.28	1.00	1.50	--	0.50	--	0.50	0.50
Book Value per Share	4.68	6.60	8.84	9.34	22.79	25.85	29.25	33.84	40.66	44.33	46.70	41.90	46.42	47.92	46.11	46.70
Month End Stock Price	16.46	16.85	21.99	31.49	72.21	34.13	61.50	91.75	67.11	99.87	97.50	86.37	88.47	103	99.87	97.50
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	-2.60	24.50	24.00	2.70	14.30	32.20	8.00	13.40	21.30	21.60	8.00	9.20	46.80	6.80	20.40	8.00
Return on Assets %	-0.90	10.40	10.20	1.00	7.60	13.50	3.70	5.60	10.40	9.40	3.20	4.00	23.20	3.60	8.80	3.20
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	19.60	27.30	31.80	14.70	30.10	42.40	17.20	23.50	43.10	28.20	12.00	18.80	85.60	14.00	27.20	12.00
Debt to Equity	0.90	0.53	0.40	0.73	0.31	0.54	0.39	0.48	0.37	0.57	0.56	0.37	0.34	0.37	0.57	0.56

Gross Margin %	29.60	32.10	30.80	22.80	30.30	32.10	21.30	25.20	28.00	26.90	22.20	22.00	27.40	26.90	31.50	22.20
Operating Margin %	12.50	16.00	16.70	7.20	15.70	19.40	6.40	10.50	14.40	13.30	7.20	6.80	17.90	7.40	16.40	7.20
Net Margin %	-0.80	9.70	8.30	0.80	8.40	13.20	4.00	6.80	8.90	9.00	4.40	4.20	12.60	4.30	10.90	4.40

Days Sales Outstanding	45.90	49.90	47.60	49.30	56.90	44.50	49.90	57.90	49.90	50.50	70.50	67.20	50.30	96.70	64.40	70.50
Days Inventory	76.30	84.60	86.60	84.20	95.50	163	109	116	96.90	93.70	167	124	44.00	110	127	167
Inventory Turnover	4.80	4.30	4.20	4.30	3.80	2.20	3.40	3.10	3.80	3.90	0.50	0.70	2.10	0.80	0.70	0.50

Debt to Revenue	0.29	0.21	0.14	0.21	0.18	0.22	0.20	0.24	0.15	0.24	1.22	0.67	0.36	0.93	1.22	1.22
COGS to Revenue	0.70	0.68	0.66	0.77	0.70	0.68	0.79	0.75	0.72	0.73	0.78	0.78	0.73	0.73	0.69	0.78
Inventory to Revenue	0.15	0.16	0.16	0.18	0.18	0.30	0.23	0.24	0.19	0.19	1.43	1.06	0.35	0.89	0.96	1.43
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-2.52	-1.37	-1.44	-1.50	-0.76	-1.05	-0.59	-0.54	-0.15	0.02	-0.78	-0.17	-0.04	0.27	0.12	-0.78

Asset Turnover	1.10	1.07	1.22	1.28	0.90	1.02	0.93	0.83	1.18	1.04	0.18	0.24	0.46	0.20	0.20	0.18
Buyback Ratio	28.60	-4.30	-17.70	-100.00	-323	-0.30	-1.90	--	--	--	0.50	--	--	--	--	0.50
Dividend Payout Ratio	--	0.06	0.05	0.44	0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.10	0.53	--	0.09	--	0.21	0.53
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	2,499	2,838	3,394	4,193	5,270	10,031	9,129	10,520	15,470	16,686	16,281	3,629	6,834	2,962	3,261	3,224
Cost of Goods Sold	1,760	1,928	2,247	3,237	3,672	6,808	7,186	7,869	11,137	12,192	11,871	2,829	4,964	2,164	2,235	2,508
Gross Profit	739	910	1,047	956	1,598	3,223	1,943	2,651	4,333	4,494	4,410	800	1,870	798	1,026	716

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	286	301	333	486	596	1,007	1,162	1,429	2,008	2,223	2,205	529	645	534	515	511
Earnings Before DDA	453	609	714	470	1,002	2,162	822	1,437	2,604	2,666	2,671	337	1,335	344	650	342

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	140	156	146	169	173	218	242	334	381	444	463	91.00	111	126	116	110

Operating Income	313	453	568	301	829	1,944	580	1,103	2,223	2,222	2,208	246	1,224	218	534	232
Interest Income/Expense	-63.00	-39.00	-49.00	-63.00	-40.00	-105	-54.00	-57.00	-23.00	3.00	-16.00	-6.00	-3.00	8.00	4.00	-25.00
Net Income	-21.00	276	283	33.00	441	1,322	366	714	1,371	1,494	1,482	153	860	127	354	141

Preferred dividends	11.00	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Earnings per Share ($)	-0.25	1.91	2.12	0.25	3.25	8.34	2.33	4.52	8.68	9.55	9.54	0.97	5.44	0.80	2.36	0.94
Total Shares Outstanding	128	145	133	132	136	159	157	158	158	156	149	158	158	158	150	149
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	200	425	300	109	1,509	374	1,047	543	1,346	726	585	1,752	1,946	1,864	726	585
Accounts Receivable	314	388	443	566	821	1,223	1,247	1,668	2,114	2,308	2,498	2,681	3,781	3,149	2,308	2,498
Inventory	368	447	533	747	961	3,047	2,137	2,502	2,956	3,129	4,604	3,862	2,398	2,623	3,129	4,604
Other Current Assets	60.00	56.00	91.00	137	297	475	689	2,281	719	2,549	2,318	349	144	265	2,549	2,318
Total Current Assets	942	1,316	1,367	1,559	3,588	5,119	5,120	6,994	7,135	8,712	10,005	8,644	8,269	7,901	8,712	10,005

Property, Plant and Equipment	1,260	1,239	1,293	1,332	1,779	2,036	1,782	2,099	2,533	3,698	3,705	2,886	3,014	3,354	3,698	3,705
Intangible Assets	--	--	--	249	250	2,436	2,418	3,082	2,955	2,985	2,972	2,975	2,935	2,926	2,985	2,972
Other Long Term Assets	71.00	101	125	125	222	227	465	542	517	582	847	495	496	546	582	847
Total Assets	2,273	2,656	2,785	3,265	5,839	9,818	9,785	12,717	13,140	15,977	17,529	15,000	14,714	14,727	15,977	17,529

Accounts Payable	404	472	576	732	1,070	2,109	1,932	1,952	2,190	2,570	5,259	4,468	3,545	2,956	2,570	5,259
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	121	60.00	35.00	228	167	611	106	422	265	1,846	1,848	344	877	1,153	1,846	1,848
Other Current Liabilities	--	--	--	--	30.00	91.00	543	1,911	972	1,231	103	113	84.00	128	1,231	103
Total Current Liabilities	525	532	611	960	1,267	2,811	2,581	4,285	3,427	5,647	7,210	4,925	4,506	4,237	5,647	7,210

Long-Term Debt	614	540	442	669	783	1,621	1,699	2,118	2,098	2,115	2,078	2,074	1,607	1,607	2,115	2,078
Other Long-Term Liabilities	313	458	552	403	697	1,276	913	967	1,191	1,299	1,282	1,381	1,266	1,312	1,299	1,282
Total Liabilities	1,452	1,530	1,605	2,032	2,747	5,708	5,193	7,370	6,716	9,061	10,570	8,380	7,379	7,156	9,061	10,570

Common Stock	--	--	--	617	1,972	1,961	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Preferred Stock	222	172	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Retained Earnings	145	398	584	602	1,024	2,313	2,662	3,359	4,477	4,955	5,019	4,573	5,338	5,465	4,955	5,019
Additional Paid-In Capital	491	553	586	5.00	8.00	8.00	1,977	1,986	1,994	1,890	1,892	2,001	2,001	2,001	1,890	1,892
Total Equity	821	1,126	1,180	1,233	3,092	4,110	4,592	5,347	6,424	6,916	6,959	6,620	7,335	7,571	6,916	6,959
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	-21.00	276	283	33.00	441	1,322	366	--	--	--	-415	--	--	--	--	-415
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	140	156	146	169	173	218	242	334	381	444	463	91.00	111	126	116	110
Cash Flow from Discontinued Operations	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	45.00	-51.00	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Others	70.00	17.00	21.00	-48.00	-120	-496	796	-56.00	901	1,675	1,764	571	347	-111	868	660
Cash Flow from Operations	189	449	450	154	494	1,044	1,404	323	1,231	2,119	1,812	662	458	15.00	984	355

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-99.00	-82.00	-175	-209	-454	-506	-313	-441	-663	-1,282	-1,413	-215	-299	-351	-417	-346
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	--	--	--	-651	--	-2,740	-15.00	-1,246	538	-2,014	-1,989	-59.00	-13.00	-5.00	-1,937	-34.00
Cash Flow from Investing	-51.00	-79.00	-212	-735	-561	-3,375	-513	-1,547	-135	-3,338	-3,438	-282	-314	-352	-2,390	-382

Net Issuance of Stock	6.00	12.00	-48.00	33.00	1,424	-31.00	7.00	8.00	5.00	-906	-911	7.00	--	--	-913	2.00
Net Issuance of Debt	-28.00	-134	-301	371	71.00	1,086	-305	527	-410	1,588	1,572	50.00	61.00	279	1,198	34.00
Cash Flow for Dividends	-25.00	-23.00	-14.00	-14.00	-15.00	-18.00	-17.00	-17.00	-18.00	-115	-154	-36.00	--	-79.00	--	-75.00
Other Financing	--	--	--	--	-13.00	159	--	298	52.00	-5.00	-5.00	--	--	-1.00	-4.00	--
Cash Flow from Financing	-47.00	-145	-363	390	1,467	1,196	-315	816	-371	562	502	21.00	61.00	199	281	-39.00

Net Change in Cash	91.00	225	-125	-191	1,400	-1,135	576	-393	725	-657	-1,136	406	194	-82.00	-1,175	-73.00

Free Cash Flow	90.00	367	275	-55.00	40.00	538	1,091	-118	568	837	399	447	159	-336	567	9.00
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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