Economic Calendar - Week Starting 4 October 2010

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Oct 03, 2010
Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 4th of October 2010. This week the main events are in the monetary policy and employment space. Firs up there's Japan with its monthly monetary policy meeting, then the RBA in Australia is expected to re-commence tightening, then the ECB and Bank of England meet on Thursday. On the employment front there's data from Australia, Canada, and the US with the much watched non-farm payrolls report. Also this week, the IMF will release its World Economic Outlook forecasts and commentary on Wednesday, shortly before the IMF annual meetings kick off in the coming weekend.

(More commentary follows the table)

DayTime (GMT)CodeEvent/ReleaseForecastPrevious
MONEUR09:00Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (AUG)3.7%4.0%
MONUSD14:00Pending Home Sales (YoY) (AUG)

-20.1%
MONUSD14:00Factory Orders (AUG)0.0%0.1%
MONJPY

Bank of Japan Rate Decision (OCT 5)0.10%0.10%
MONAUD00:30Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (AUG)0.4%0.7%
MONAUD00:30Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (AUG)2300M1888M
MONAUD03:30Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision4.75%4.50%
TUECHF07:15Consumer Price Index (YoY) (SEP)0.3%0.3%
TUEEUR07:55German PMI Services (SEP F)54.654.6
TUEEUR08:00Euro-Zone PMI Services (SEP F)53.653.6
TUEEUR08:00Euro-Zone PMI Composite (SEP F)



TUEGBP08:30Purchasing Manager Index Services (SEP)51.051.3
TUEEUR09:00Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (AUG)

1.1%
TUEUSD14:00ISM Non-Manufacutring Composite (SEP)52.051.5
TUEUSD21:00ABC Consumer Confidence (OCT 3)

-46
WEDEUR09:00Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (YoY) (2Q F)

1.9%
WEDEUR09:00Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ) (2Q F)1.0%1.0%
WEDEUR10:00German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (AUG)1.0%-2.2%
WEDUSD12:15ADP Employment Change (SEP)20K-10K
WEDCAD14:00Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (SEP)62.065.9
WEDGBP

NIESR GDP Estimate (SEP)

0.7%
WEDAUD00:30Employment Change (SEP)20.0K30.9K
WEDAUD00:30Unemployment Rate (SEP)5.1%5.1%
THUGBP08:30Industrial Production (YoY) (AUG)4.2%1.9%
THUEUR10:00German Industrial Production (YoY) (AUG)

10.9%
THUGBP11:00Bank of England Rate Decision (OCT 7)0.50%0.50%
THUGBP11:00Bank of England Asset Purchase Target200B200B
THUEUR11:45European Central Bank Rate Decision (OCT)1.00%1.00%
THUUSD12:30Initial Jobless Claims (OCT 2)453K453K
THUUSD19:00Consumer Credit (AUG)-$3.0B-$3.6B
THUCNY02:30China HSBC Services PMI (SEP)

57.6
FRIEUR06:00German Exports s.a. (MoM) (AUG)-0.8%-1.6%
FRIEUR06:00German Imports s.a. (MoM) (AUG)0.4%-2.2%
FRIGBP08:30Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (SEP)8.6%8.1%
FRIGBP08:30PPI Output Core n.s.a. (YoY) (SEP)4.3%4.6%
FRICAD11:00Net Change in Employment (SEP)10.0K35.8K
FRICAD11:00Unemployment Rate (SEP)8.0%8.1%
FRIUSD12:30Change in Non-farm Payrolls (SEP)5K-54K
FRIUSD12:30Average Hourly Earning All Employees (MoM)0.2%0.3%
FRIUSD12:30Change in Private Payrolls (SEP)82K67K
FRIUSD12:30Unemployment Rate (SEP)9.7%9.6%
FRIUSD12:30Average Weekly Hours All Employees (SEP)34.234.2


All

IMF Meetings



Starting off with the monetary policy events, the Bank of Japan of course wont touch interest rates, if anything they might look to do additional stimulus to get the economy moving and attack the persistent deflation problem - it will also be interesting to see what they say about the yentervention . The Reserve Bank of Australia will also come firmly into the spotlight as the consensus is growing toward seeing another interest rate increase... remember this time last year it kicked off the tightening cycle - dejavu anyone? The ECB probably wont do much, but it always puts out some insightful commentary, and the Bank of England could well release more stimulus - in preference of addressing the economic growth risks vs the inflation risks.

On the jobs front, Australia is up first, and is expected to show jobs growth around 20k vs 30.9k in August, as the lucky country's economy goes from strength to strength on the back of a strong resources sector that is likely to only grow in strength (as long as commodity prices stay right... and the Aussie dollar for that matter). In Canada it's a similar story, the resources sector is going strong and jobs growth is expected to come in at 10k vs 35.8k in August. Meanwhile in the US, consensus is for about 5k on the headline payrolls figure vs -54k in Aug, while the private payrolls number is expected to be about 82k vs 67k in Aug... still nothing to write home about in the context of the net negative jobs growth over the past decade.

Elsewhere there's a few data points out on Germany this week including the PMI numbers, factory orders (expected to increase), industrial production, and exports and imports data. There's also producer price index info from the EU and UK. Also among the remaining PMI data to be released this week for September, there's the US non-manufacturing composite, and the China HSBC services PMI; both of which will be critical data points to be across in terms of monitoring the two largest economies. In the US there's also consumer credit data due out for August, as well as pending home sales and the ABC consumer confidence index.

Another interesting feature of this week will be the IMF (International Monetary Fund), with the respected World Economic Outlook due to be released on Wednesday, and the IMF annual meetings in the coming weekend. While its unlikely to be too much more than a talk-fest, it will be worth monitoring what they have to say.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...



Sources

DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar

Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/

Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com

+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification



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