The stock of Hyundai Motor Co (OTCPK:HYMTF, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $51.02 per share and the market cap of $26.6 billion, Hyundai Motor Co stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Hyundai Motor Co is shown in the chart below.
Because Hyundai Motor Co is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which is estimated to grow 6.49% annually over the next three to five years.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company’s financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Hyundai Motor Co has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.32, which which ranks worse than 66% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. The overall financial strength of Hyundai Motor Co is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Hyundai Motor Co is poor. This is the debt and cash of Hyundai Motor Co over the past years:
It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. Hyundai Motor Co has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $50.2 billion and earnings of $2.416 a share. Its operating margin is 1.66%, which ranks worse than 66% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of Hyundai Motor Co at 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Hyundai Motor Co over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Hyundai Motor Co is -5%, which ranks worse than 69% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -14%, which ranks worse than 76% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry.
Another way to evaluate a company’s profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Hyundai Motor Co’s ROIC was 0.69, while its WACC came in at 3.84. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Hyundai Motor Co is shown below:
In short, the stock of Hyundai Motor Co (OTCPK:HYMTF, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks worse than 76% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. To learn more about Hyundai Motor Co stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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