AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP. Reports Operating Results (10-K)

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Feb 23, 2012
AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP. (AGNC, Financial) filed Annual Report for the period ended 2011-12-31.

Amer Cap Agency has a market cap of $6.81 billion; its shares were traded at around $30.67 with a P/E ratio of 5.8 and P/S ratio of 6. The dividend yield of Amer Cap Agency stocks is 18.4%.

Highlight of Business Operations:

Weighted average cost of funds related to terminated interest rate swap amortization expense calculated by dividing our amortization expense by our weighted average repurchase agreements. The amortization expense associated with the termination of interest rate swaps was $0 million, $6.3 million , $10.3 million and $0 million for fiscal years 2011, 2010 and 2009 and for the period from May 20, 2008 (date operations commenced) through December 31, 2008, respectively.

Long-term interest rates continued to fall during 2011. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate fell from 3.30% as of the end of 2010 to 1.88% by the end of 2011. We believe that the main drivers of the decline in long-term rates to be continued weaker than expected economic data, market fears about sovereign debt in the eurozone and the Federal Reserve's current stance.

Market participants held different opinions regarding whether prepayments would remain benign despite historically low interest rates. Our Manager believed the low level of interest rates, coupled with the significant amount of homeowners who have refinanced since 2009, would lead to overall increases in prepayments and that the U.S. Government policy driven initiatives, such as HARP 2.0, could actually cause very large prepayment differences between various types of agency securities. Consequently, throughout 2011, we actively positioned our portfolio to better withstand prepayment risks, since we believe that lower prepayment speeds should allow us to generate greater returns on our agency mortgage-backed security portfolio. We invested in securities that have natural impediments to refinance activity, which we believe reduce our exposure to prepayments(i.e. securities with lower loan balance collateral and securities that were already a product of HARP). As of December 31, 2011, 91% of our 15-year portfolio and 68% of our 30-year portfolio were backed by lower loan balance or HARP securities.

The first chart below illustrates that prepayment speeds have increased significantly in 2011 for generic mortgage securities, exemplified by Fannie Mae, 4.5% fixed rate, 30-year TBA securities. In contrast, pools backed by lower loan balance mortgages and HARP loans remained slow, exemplified by Fannie Mae, 4.5% fixed rate, 30-year moderate loan balance and HARP securities. Similarly, prepayment speeds on our investment portfolio during 2011 remained well below those of the mortgage universe, illustrated in the second chart below.

3.HARP securities defined as pools backed by 100% refinance loans with loan to values ≥ 90% and ≤ 125%

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