June Magic Formula Newsletter Pick: Tremendous Upside Potential

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Jun 10, 2012
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GuruFocus publishes three monthly newsletters. These newsletters are the included features for Premium Members.

1. Ben Graham: Net-Net Newsletter focuses on net-net stocks that Ben Graham would buy. It is released on the first Friday of each month.

2. Micro-Cap Magic Formula Newsletter picks companies that have high return on capital and high earnings yield. It is released on the second Friday of each month.

3. Buffett-Munger Best Bargains Newsletter recommends companies that have high business quality, but traded at undervalued prices. A younger Buffett would buy this kind of companies. It is published on the third Friday of each month.

The authors for Ben Graham: Net-Net Newsletter and Micro-Cap Magic Formula Newsletter put their own money into the newsletter picks in real portfolios on the Mondays after the newsletters are released. Subscribers have the full weekends to digest the pick and they will have the same opportunities to buy these stocks on Mondays.

Joel Greenblatt's magic formula has proven to be one of most popular and successful quantitative screens. By finding stocks with better than average return characteristics selling for below average prices, the screen has proven its ability to outperform the market.

However, the screen has one blind spot — stocks with a market cap under $50 million.

This month's pick is trading for less than half the multiple that a prominent value investor has argued company's in its industry should trade at. It's already been written up twice on Value Investor's Club, and it has a new division that could easily be worth more than its current market cap within two to three years.

After backing out some one- time costs associated with startup growth, the company is trading for just 7x EV / EBIT, and that June actually underestimate its true earnings. They have a rapidly growing international segment, and their incoming CEO already owns 40% of the shares outstanding and could serve as a catalyst for a sale of the company.

In sum, this month's pick offers everything a magic formula stock should be: strong cash flows, huge ROIC, tremendous upside potential, and several clear catalysts for value realization.

We will buy this week’s Magic Formula Newsletter pick on Monday, June 11.

Download this month’s Microcap Magic Formula Newsletter.

Also don’t miss:

June Ben Graham Net-Net Newsletter: A Ben Graham Net-Net with 19 Straight Years of Profits.

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