What's Driving AppFolio Inc's Surprising 27% Stock Rally?

AppFolio Inc (APPF, Financial) has experienced a remarkable surge in its stock price, with a 26.08% gain over the past week and a 26.53% increase over the past three months. The company's market capitalization now stands at $8 billion, with the current stock price at $223.66. This recent performance has brought the stock to a valuation that GuruFocus deems as fairly valued, with a GF Value of $203.67, up from the past GF Value of $192.97. The consistency in the GF Valuation, remaining fairly valued over the past quarter, suggests a stable perception of the company's intrinsic value among investors.

Introduction to AppFolio Inc

AppFolio Inc, operating within the competitive software industry, specializes in delivering cloud-based software solutions tailored for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) in the property management and legal sectors. Their comprehensive property management software, Appfolio Property Manager, and their real estate investment management tool, Appfolio Investment Management, are central to their product offerings. Additionally, AppFolio provides value-added services such as website design and electronic payment solutions. The company primarily operates in the United States and generates its revenue predominantly from subscription fees. 1751971444985851904.png

Assessing AppFolio's Profitability

AppFolio's Profitability Rank stands at 6/10, indicating a moderate level of profitability relative to other companies. The company's operating margin is currently at 0.16%, which is better than 43.89% of its peers. In terms of return on equity (ROE), AppFolio has a rate of 1.05%, surpassing 46.45% of companies in the industry. The return on assets (ROA) at 0.71% and return on invested capital (ROIC) at 0.19% also place AppFolio ahead of 50.53% and 46.39% of companies, respectively. Over the past decade, AppFolio has maintained profitability for six years, showcasing its financial resilience. 1751971463373680640.png

Growth Trajectory of AppFolio

The company's Growth Rank is an impressive 7/10. AppFolio's 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share stands at 25.20%, outperforming 80.26% of companies, while its 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share is at 25.10%, better than 87.23% of companies. However, the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate shows a significant decline of -74.90%, which is only better than 5.73% of companies. This discrepancy highlights the need for a closer examination of the factors affecting AppFolio's earnings per share. 1751971481249804288.png

Notable Shareholders in AppFolio

Among the notable shareholders of AppFolio, Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) leads with 135,500 shares, representing a 0.38% share percentage. Following him is Ray Dalio (Trades, Portfolio), holding 14,507 shares, which equates to a 0.04% share percentage. Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) also has a stake in the company with 4,590 shares, accounting for a 0.01% share percentage. The presence of these prominent investors may signal confidence in AppFolio's business model and future prospects.

Competitive Landscape

When compared to its competitors, AppFolio holds its ground with a market cap of $8 billion. GitLab Inc (GTLB, Financial) has a slightly higher market cap at $10.81 billion, followed by Monday.Com Ltd (MNDY, Financial) at $10.07 billion, and ZoomInfo Technologies Inc (ZI, Financial) at $6.19 billion. AppFolio's performance and valuation place it firmly within the competitive range of these industry peers.

Conclusion

In summary, AppFolio Inc's stock has seen a significant uptick in value over the past quarter, aligning with the company's fair valuation according to GuruFocus metrics. The company's profitability and growth prospects remain solid, with a strong presence in its niche market. The backing by notable shareholders adds to the company's credibility. While facing stiff competition, AppFolio's market position is robust, and its recent stock performance reflects investor confidence in its continued success.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.