Stanley Druckenmiller's Stocks Trading With Low P/E

Author's Avatar
Apr 01, 2015

Stanley Druckenmiller (Trades, Portfolio) is the President, CEO and Chairman of Duquesne Capital, which he founded in 1981. The fund is reported to have more than $10 billion in assets. He managed money for George Soros (Trades, Portfolio) from 1988 to 2000 as the lead portfolio manager for the Quantum Fund. With an estimated current net worth of around $3.5 billion, he is ranked by Forbes as the 91st-richest person in America. He is reported to have made $260 million in 2008.

His portfolio is composed of 35 stocks and has a total value of $1,020 Mil and the most weighted sectors are Healthcare (30%) and Consumer Cyclical (27.8%)

Based on Stanley Druckenmiller's portfolio, Virgin America Inc. (VA), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) are the companies with the lowest P/E ratio.

Virgin America Inc. (VA)

The company has a market cap of $1,313 million and Druckenmiller owns 8,100 shares.

The company is currently trading with a P/E (ttm) of 4.20 at lower levels of both the Industry Median (average of 36.70) and history (minimum of 4.20).

The Profitability is rated 2/10 with a flat returns, ROE of 1.10%, a ROA of 0.44% and a ROC of 6.40%. All these ratios are better then 70% of Virgin America’s competitors.

The Financial Strength is rated 5/10 with a Cash to Debt of 3.04. This ratio is better than 95% of other industries of the Global Airlines’ competitors.

Current Level Industry Median History Best Level
P/E (ttm) 4.20 36.70 4.20
ROA 0.44 1.26 7.07
ROE 1.10 6.70 159.81
ROC (J. Greenblatt) 6.40 6.95 63.49
Cash to Debt 3.04 0.44 No Debt

Over the last 12 months, the Revenue Grew by 363%, the Free Cash Flow by 4042% and EPS by 296%.

03May20171131391493829099.jpg

The company looks Undervalued based on both the Peter Lynch Earnings Line that gives a fair value of $120.8 (-75%),and the Discounted Cash Flow Model that gives a fair value of $118.75 (a margin of safety of +74%.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)

The company has a market cap of $81,884 million and Druckenmiller owns 25,682 shares.

The company is currently trading with a P/E (ttm) of 11.10 at lower levels of Industry Median (average of 24.60) and history (minimum of 5.34 and maximum of 31.93).

The Profitability is rated 5/10 with a ROE of 10.48%, a ROA of 0.96% and a ROC of 137.15%. All these ratios are at average level of GS history and at best levels of the Global Capital Markets Industry.

The Financial Strength is rated 6/10 with a Cash to Debt of 0.27 that is better than 55% of other GS’s competitors.

Current Level Industry Median History Best Level
P/E (ttm) 11.10 24.60 31.93
ROA 0.96% 1.87% 1.54%
ROE 10.48% 8.41% 29.9%
ROC (J. Greenblatt) 137.15% 112.28% 178.86%
Cash to Debt 0.27 4.33 0.55

Over the last 5 years, both the Revenue (-0.80%) , EBITDA (-2.60%), and Book Value (+6.00%) didn't face good changes. Just over the last 12 months there is a increase: (Revenue +6.60%, EBITDA +10.70% and Book Value +5.80%) .

03May20171131391493829099.jpg

The company looks Undervalued based on the Peter Lynch Earnings Line that gives a fair value of $275.2 ( and a margin of safety of +31.27%); It looks overpriced based on the Discounted Cash Flow that gives a fait value of 143.26$ (a negative margin of safety of -32%)

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

The company has a market cap of $81,884 million and Druckenmiller owns 25,682 shares.

The company is currently trading with a P/E (ttm) of 13.50 at lower levels compared to the Industry Median (average of 36.70) and average levels compared to its own history (minimum of 12.21 and maximum of 14.21).

The Profitability is rated 4/10 with a ROE of 152.67%, a ROA of 6.59% and a ROC of 20.10%. All these ratios are at good levels compared to both AAL's history and the industry.

The Financial Strength is rated 7/10 with a Cash to Debt of 0.41 which is ranked higher than 82% of Global Airlines companies but is at worst levels of SWN history, where the company best performance was with No Debts.

Current Level Industry Median History Best Level
P/E (ttm) 13.50 36.70 12.21
ROA 6.59% 1.26% 6.70%
ROE 152.67% 6.70% 49.15%
ROC (J. Greenblatt) 20.10% 6.95% 20.10%
Cash to Debt 0.41 0.44 No Debt

Over the last 5 years, the Revenue Dropped by -15.50% and the Free Cash Flow is almost flat -1.30%.

03May20171131391493829099.jpg

The company looks fairly priced based on the Peter Lynch Earnings Line and Undervalued based on the Discounted Cash Flow Model, which gives a fair value of $57.97 (a margin of safety of +12%.