Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN), the luxury gaming and hotel company with properties in the United States and Macau, was down 45% in the third quarter. Wynn Palace-Cotai is expected to open in March, and the company commenced site remediation for Wynn Everett-Boston, yet the stock price reflects no value for these assets before they generate revenues. While gross gaming revenue continues to decline in Macau, bears are extrapolating poor results forward and ignoring the potential for Wynn to gain market share next year upon the opening of Palace. The company sells for roughly our appraisal of its Las Vegas properties plus its Boston concession, after net debt. The stock price implies almost no value for Macau, even though the depressed market value of its 72% stake in Wynn Macau (down YTD from HKD 21.85 to HKD 8.78) is worth around $50 per Wynn share. Even bear case analysts project higher visitors and revenues in Macau over the next five years, but the uncertainty of the next 12 months translates into minimal value for Wynn’s Macau properties today.
From Mason Hawkins (Trades, Portfolio)' Longleaf Partners third quarter 2015 shareholder commentary.
