When we drill down to the Fund’s investments and any one particular company’s exposure to Brexit, we look at two criteria. The first is revenue exposure, and the second is whether the end product is highly discretionary or more of a basic need. Out of all the Fund’s current investments, AGCO Corp. (NYSE:AGCO) has the highest concentration of revenues originating from Europe. In 2015, AGCO derived roughly 50% of its revenues from Europe, with most of those sales tied to the richer northern European countries. While agriculture is clearly a cyclical industry, Brexit is not likely to have much of an impact on food consumption or prices. On the other hand, a stronger dollar makes U.S. agriculture products more expensive in Europe, which could provide a slight advantage to AGCO’s European farming customers. Thus, Brexit might only have a modest impact, if any, on AGCO’s business.
From FPA Capital Fund (Trades, Portfolio)'s second quarter 2016 commentary.
