Wireless Giants Headed in Different Directions

The acquisition strategies of AT&T and Verizon

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Aug 09, 2016
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AT&T (T, Financial) and Verizon (VZ, Financial) are the two largest wireless businesses in the U.S. They are both mega cap businesses:

  • $265 billion market cap for AT&T.
  • $219 billion market cap for Verizon.

These two giants each control 33% of the U.S. wireless market measured by number of subscribers. Together, these two companies account for two-thirds of wireless subscriptions in the U.S.

That’s powerful. Verizon and AT&T, along with T-Mobile (TMUS, Financial) and Sprint (S, Financial), control over 90% of the wireless market in the U.S.

Stability and dividends

Both businesses make the bulk of their profits from contracts that reduce customer churn by increasing switching costs. This gives both businesses stable cash flows.

Stability allows these companies to pay steady or rising dividends year after year.

AT&T is a Dividend Aristocrat thanks to its 32 consecutive years of dividend increases.

Verizon is not a Dividend Aristocrat, but the company does have a long dividend history. Verizon has paid steady or increasing dividends every year for 33 years.

In addition to their long dividend streaks, both companies are shareholder friendly in that they pay out the bulk of their profits as dividends.

  • AT&T has a payout ratio of 82.2%.
  • Verizon has payout ratio of 63.8%.

These high payout ratios (combined with fairly low price-to-earnings ratios) lead to high dividend yields – a rarity in today’s low interest rate environment:

  • AT&T has a 4.5% dividend yield.
  • Verizon has a 4.2% dividend yield.

For comparison, the Standard & Poor's 500 currently has a dividend yield of 2.0%. Both Verizon and AT&T have dividend yields that are more than double the market average.

The combination of stability and high (and growing) dividends makes AT&T and Verizon some of the best stocks to own for retirement.

While these businesses are stable, they are far from inactive. Both AT&T and Verizon have gone on an acquisition spree.

Verizon and AT&T: Acquisitions galore

Neither Verizon or AT&T are content with "staying pat" in the slow-growing wireless space. Both companies have made big bets on recent acquisitions,

Verizon’s recent acquisition history is below:

That’s $11.6 billion in disclosed acquisitions, plus more for the undisclosed acquisitions. It is likely that the three undisclosed acquisitions were in the millions, not billions.

Verizon’s acquisition pace has been dizzying. AT&T has made several big moves over the last few years of its own.

There is a difference in the type of acquisitions these two companies have made over the last few years. The different types of acquisitions underscore the different growth strategies for the two wireless giants.

AT&T and Verizon: Headed in different directions

Verizon’s acquisitions show the company is focusing on two trends:

  • Mobile advertising.
  • Internet of Things (especially in vehicles).

The AOL, Yahoo and Complex acquisitions all bolster Verizon’s growing content empire. The company is monetizing these properties through advertising.

They also give Verizon access to a tremendous amount of data on the usage patterns and habits of its subscribers. Verizon is trying to expand from a wireless provider to a wireless and content provider.

The company is also betting big on the "Internet of Things." The idea behind the Internet of Things is that more and more everyday devices will be connected to the Internet.

This will allow companies to collect data on the usage of a wide range of devices and improve them to better match what consumers want.

A company like Verizon could conceivably manage the data from one of its customers and serve ads on its media properties based on behavior in your house. Use your toaster every morning? Get served an ad for Pop Tarts. Did one of your light bulbs go out? Get served an ad for a new light.

AT&T has taken a different approach.

What immediately stands out is the company’s gigantic $60 billion acquisition of DirecTV. The DirecTV acquisition is already paying off for AT&T. Adjusted earnings-per-share grew 6.7% in the company’s latest quarter.

DirecTV has a significant reach in Latin America. AT&T has also acquired Lucasell and Nextel Mexico to expand its wireless operations into Mexico.

The geographic expansion into Mexico makes sense. It keeps AT&T focused on what it does best while opening up a new market for the company to expand.

Bundling the subscription based DirecTV service with AT&T’s other subscription offerings makes sense as well. It is a logical add-on for the company. Additionally, AT&T plans to leverage DirecTV’s video services by streaming on mobile devices.

In short, Verizon is betting big data, mobile advertising and streaming, and the internet of things. AT&T is betting big on Latin America (especially Mexico) and providing mobile streaming with DirecTV.

Valuation and final thoughts

Both AT&T and Verizon are high quality dividend growth stocks. Both have long histories of paying increasing dividends. Both are consistently high-paying dividend stocks with growth potential – a rarity in today’s low interest rate environment.

Both AT&T and Verizon rank in the top one-third of dividend growth stocks using The 8 Rules of Dividend Investing due to their stability, high yields and reasonable valuations:

  • Verizon has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.3.
  • AT&T has a forward P/E ratio of 14.2.

AT&T and Verizon both have low forward P/E ratios. The companies have lower P/E ratios due to their lower historical growth. Both companies are likely trading around fair value at current prices.

The company’s offerings closely match each other today. Verizon and AT&T are slowly heading in different directions, however.

Despite this, both companies will likely continue to deliver positive earnings-per-share (EPS) growth and dividend growth for investors over the long run.

Disclosure: Not long anything in this article.

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