7 Reasons to Love Intuit

The company's products give it a wide moat

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Sep 19, 2017
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Intuit Inc. (INTU, Financial) is known for its accounting and tax software QuickBooks and TurboTax. On the surface, the company appears to have a consumer monopoly with its well-integrated, strongly branded products. Digging deeper, here are seven reasons to love Intuit:

1. Returns

The company has a 10-year median return on equity (ROE) and return on invested capital (ROIC) of 25.34% and 20.35% respectively.

Table 1: Intuit 10-year ROE and ROIC

ROE (%) ROIC (%)
2008 23.21 15.74
2009 19.32 14.13
2010 21.35 16.5
2011 23.32 16.81
2012 29.55 23.89
2013 27.35 24.1
2014 27.45 24.28
2015 13.49 11.75
2016 56.06 36.35
2017 77.22 49.33
Median 25.34 20.35

Source: GuruFocus

2. Margins

Intuit has delivered healthy margins over the years with respective operating and net margins of 26.9% and 18.76% in 2017. The company delivered a 10-year median of 26.7% for operating margin and 17.69% for net margin, compared to the software industry's averages of 19.51% and 12.84%.

Table 2: Intuit 10-year operating and net margin

OM (%) NM (%)
2008 21.5 15.5
2009 22 14.05
2010 25 16.61
2011 27.5 16.46
2012 30.7 19.08
2013 30.6 20.57
2014 30.6 20.13
2015 17.6 8.71
2016 26.5 20.86
2017 26.9 18.76
Median 26.7 17.69

Source: GuruFocus

3. Earnings

A look at Intuit’s earnings per share shows earnings have been consistent and upwardly marching: five-year and 10-year growth rates stand at 7.43% and 11.61% respectively. The consistency found in the company's earnings lead to predictability and confidence in discounted cash flow projections. The company has also delivered decent revenue growth of 6.83% over the past 10 years, although it has slowed to 4.52% in the recent five-year period.

Table 3: Intuit 10-year EPS

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EPS $1.41 $ 1.35 $ 1.77 $ 2.00 $ 2.60 $ 2.83 $ 3.12 $ 1.28 $ 3.69 $ 3.72

Source: GuruFocus

4. Capital spending

If a company must heavily reinvest in capital assets such as machinery and equipment, it typcially struggles to increase shareholder value at a high rate. Thus, we look at capital spending to pre-tax income to gauge how much a company is spending on capital expenses relative to income. For Intuit, we find 16.8% of its 2017 pre-tax income was spent on capital expenditures. Over the past decade, the median has been 20.6%. Certainly, this is not low – Brown-Forman Corp. (BF.B, Financial), for example, has a 10-year median of 9.6% -- but also, it is not high -- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN, Financial), for example, has a 10-year median of 173%.

Table 4: Intuit 10-year capital spending/IBT

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cap Spending in Millions $306 $182 $143 $228 $196 $209 $201 $261 $522 $230
Income Before Taxes $698 $653 $815 $966 $1,151 $1,210 $1,314 $712 $1,203 $1,367
Cap Spending/IBT 43.8% 27.9% 17.5% 23.6% 17.0% 17.3% 15.3% 36.7% 43.4% 16.8%

Source: GuruFocus

5. Financial health

Intuit can cover its interest payments 16.81 times using earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation. Also, the company can retire all of its long-term-debt - $438 million - in half a year using 2017’s net income.

6. Efficiency

Intuit has a trailing 12-month asset turnover ratio of 1.19 times compared to the software industry average of 0.48 times. This asset turnover is a measure of how effectively a company can generate sales from its base of assets. Formula-wise, it is net sales divided by average total assets. Ultimately, Intuit is able to generate $1.19 in sales for every dollar invested in assets it holds versus the industry, which can only generate a measly 48 cents.

7. Moat

Intuit's moat rests on a bed of customer “stickiness” due to high switching costs. The company’s Quickbooks software is embedded in the infrastructure of approximately 29 million small businesses – it holds an 80% market share - and switching costs would be expensive and time-intensive. Additionally, Intuit offers ancillary products such as Payroll Services and TurboTax, which integrate more easily with Quickbooks than third-party offerings. Furthermore, a network effect is in place as accountants are more likely to use Quickbooks to match their customers. The moat of Intuit is strong and wide.

Valuation: Not so much

Currently, Intuit is not priced for value as its price-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 37.83 versus a historic 10-year median of 27.2 and an earnings yield of only 2.64%. The Peter Lynch earnings line – 15 times earnings – prices the company around $65 a share versus its current price of around $145. However, a discounted cash flow analysis using owner’s earnings of $695 million, an average growth rate of 13.38%, a second stage growth rate of 5%, shares outstanding of 265 million and a discount rate of 7.51% shows a value of $179. Still, this is not a significant margin of safety and, coupled with the relative price indicators, leads us to conclude huge value is not present.

Intuit certainly is a good company given its returns, margins, earnings, capital spending, financial health, efficiency and moat. Given its valuation though, investors should be patient, update thier watch list and wait.

Disclosure: The author does not own any of the securities mentioned.