While the company's foray into the US market through the purchases of BankNorth and Commerce Bancorp has not gone quite as planned, overall TD is a solid bank with a conservative approach. The stock is currently trading at a discount to Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia and Bank of Montreal on a price to book basis. Even given the emerging troubles in the US portion of the loan portfolio, the discount that TD trades at compared to its competitors does not seem justified. Specifically, over the last 12 months TD has had the highest net interest margin, a figure that is a good barometer of the strength of a banking franchise. Additionally, TD has set aside the largest percentage of total loans for credit losses even though its nonperforming loan to total loan ratio has been the lowest of the group. All in all the shares look a little pricey at the current level but investors should look to accumulate shares in the $50-$55 range based on my estimate of intrinsic value around $66 a share. Buying in this price range would allow for a 20-25% margin of safety to protect against any overestimate or impairment of intrinsic value.
About the author:
My name is Ben C. and I am 2nd year MBA candidate at the Anderson School of Business at the University of California- Los Angeles. I have a BS in Economics from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Before coming to Anderson I worked as a generalist equity research analyst for Right Wall Capital, a long-short equity hedge fund located in New York City. Prior to working at Right Wall I worked as an analyst at Blue Ram Capital, another long-short equity hedge fund located in Rye Brook, NY. This past summer, I worked for West Coast Asset Management as a research analyst. West Coast, which was co-founded by Kinko’s founder Paul Orfalea, is run by well-known value investors Lance Helfert and Atticus Lowe.