6 Stocks With High Business Predictability Ratings

Apple, AutoZone under the spotlight

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Mar 15, 2019
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According to the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener, the following companies have high business predictability ratings and a wide margin of safety.

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

The company has a three out of five-star business predictability rank and, according to the discounted cash flow calculator, a 47% margin of safety at $182.3 per share.

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The company, which manufactures iPhones and other electronic devices, has a market cap of $825.03 billion and an enterprise value of $853.34 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 14.2% and earnings per share have grown 14.30%.

The stock price was stable over the last 12 months and is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 15.10. The share price has been as high as $233.47 and as low as $142 in the last 52 weeks. As of Friday, it is 21.96% below its 52-week high and 28.31% above its 52-week low.

With 5.29% of outstanding shares, Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio)’s Berkshire Hathaway is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.27%, Spiros Segalas (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.14% and Jeremy Grantham (Trades, Portfolio)’s GMO LLC with 0.08%.

Alliance Data Systems Corp. (ADS)

The company has a five-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 60% margin of safety at $170 per share.

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The company, which provides marketing and credit solutions, has a market cap of $9.09 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 17.10% and its earnings per share have grown 18.20%.

The stock has fallen 26% over the last 12 months and is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 9.79 and a price-book ratio of 3.96. The share price has been as high as $7,250.27 and as low as $3,142.58 in the last 52 weeks. As of Friday, it is 31.44% below its 52-week high and 20.34% above its 52-week low.

With 9.83% of outstanding shares, Jeff Ubben (Trades, Portfolio)’s ValueAct Holdings LP is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by the Glenn Greenberg (Trades, Portfolio)’s Brave Warrior Advisors with 3.29% and Ray Dalio (Trades, Portfolio)’s Bridgewater Associates with 0.94%.

NVR Inc. (NVR)

The company has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 51% margin of safety at $2,739 per share.

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The U.S. homebuilder has a $9.91 billion market cap. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 14.90% and its earnings per share have grown 27.70%.

The stock has fallen 10% over the last 12 months, it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 14.5 and a price-book ratio of 5.46. The share price has been as high as $3,233.0 and as low as $2,040.71 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently 15.28% below its 52-week high and 34.22% above its 52-week low.

With 2.99% of outstanding shares, Diamond Hill Capital (Trades, Portfolio) is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Smead Value Fund (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.75% and Jim Simons' (Trades, Portfolio) Renaissance Technologies with 0.46%.

Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

The company has a 3.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 26% margin of safety at $1,760.71 per share.

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The online travel agency has a $79.25 billion market cap. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 18.10% and its earnings per share have risen 12.50%.

The stock price has fallen 20% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 21.04. The share price has been as high as $2,207.57 and as low as $1,606.27 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently 20.24% below its 52-week high and 9.61% above its 52-week low.

The company's largest guru shareholder is Dodge & Cox with 2.58% of outstanding shares, followed by Frank Sands (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.01%, Chase Coleman (Trades, Portfolio)’s Tiger Global Management with 1.0% and Steve Mandel’s Lone Pine Capital with 0.79%.

AutoZone Inc. (AZO)

The company has a 3.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 27% margin of safety at $950 per share.

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The company, which distributes a diverse range of essentials and auto parts for cars, vans and light trucks, has a market cap of $23.47 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 10.30% and its earnings per share have increased 11.90%.

The stock has risen 45% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 17.61. The price has been as high as $964.39 and as low as $590.76 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently 2.47% below its 52-week high and 59.22% above its 52-week low.

With 0.71% of outstanding shares, Tweedy Browne (Trades, Portfolio) is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by the Simons’ firm with 0.30% and Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio)’s Gotham Asset Management with 0.12%.

Texas Pacific Land Trust (TPL)

The company has a 4.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 4% margin of safety at $740 per share.

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The company has a $5.69 billion market cap. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 45.80% and its earnings per share have risen 48.60%.

The stock price has grown 40% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 27.22. The share price has been as high as $877.97 and as low as $409 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently 16.56% below its 52-week high and 79.11% above its 52-week low.

The company's largest guru shareholder is Murray Stahl (Trades, Portfolio) with 23.30% of outstanding shares, followed by Simons’ firm with 0.09% and Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.08%.

Disclosure: I do not own any stocks mentioned.