Leucadia Natl LUK
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star

Back Testing Results:

Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies & What is Predictability Rank?

$21.04     0.09(0.43%) 3:59PM EST
Be the first to vote for the Fair Value .My Vote: $


Key Statistics
Please read: New Key Statistics Module, Z-Score and F-Score
Market Cap $M5,135Revenue $M3,711 Net Margin (%)13.6 Z-Score  
Enterprise Value $M6,722EPS $2.0 Operating Margin %55.3 F-Score  4
P/E:(before NRI)10.6 Cash Flow Per Share $0.5 Pre-tax Margin (%)25.9Higher ROA y-yN
Price/Book0.8 10-y EBITDA Growth Rate %0Quick Ratio1.0Cash flow > EarningsN
Price/Sales3.3 5-y EBITDA Growth Rate %0Current Ratio1.4Lower Leverage y-yN
Price/Cash Flow45.8 y-y EBITDA Growth Rate %67.9ROA % (ttm)5.6 Higher Current Ratio y-yY
Dividend Yield %1.2 Insider Buy (3m)0 ROE % (ttm)7.8 Less Shares Outstanding y-yN
Payout Ratio %13.0Shares Outstanding M245ROI % (ttm)6.2 Gross Margin Increase y-yY
Guru Trades with LUK
Exclude other managers Click to exclude managers not in the List of Gurus.
GuruDate (?) Trades Impact to Portfolio Price Range * (?) Current Price Change from Average Current SharesHistory
Chuck Akre 2012-03-31 New Buy1.6%$23.89 - $29.72 $ 20.94-19%604200History
Donald Yacktman 2011-06-30 Reduce -86.09%0.04%$32.11 - $39.02 $ 20.94-41%14950History
Tweedy Browne 2011-03-31 Reduce -51.68%0.74%$29.18 - $37.61 $ 20.94-37%550546History
John Keeley 2011-03-31 Reduce -20.33%0.02%$29.18 - $37.61 $ 20.94-37%145205History
George Soros 2011-03-31 Sold Out $29.18 - $37.61 $ 20.94-37%0History
Mario Gabelli 2011-03-31 Sold Out $29.18 - $37.61 $ 20.94-37%0History
David Winters 2011-03-31 Sold Out $29.18 - $37.61 $ 20.94-37%0History
Mohnish Pabrai 2010-12-31 Sold Out 6.04%$23.45 - $29.52 $ 20.94-21%0History
George Soros 2010-09-30 Reduce -69.07%0.02%$18.89 - $24.05 $ 20.94-4%25900History
Prem Watsa 2010-06-30 Sold Out 0.02%$19.78 - $28.05 $ 20.94-10%0History
George Soros 2010-06-30 Add 40.89%0.01%$19.78 - $28.05 $ 20.94-10%83729History
Tom Gayner 2010-03-31 Add 21.51%0.14%$21.72 - $25.92 $ 23.3-4%508400History
Prem Watsa 2010-03-31 Reduce -93.04%0.02%$21.72 - $25.92 $ 23.3-4%27950History
Jean-Marie Eveillard 2010-03-31 Reduce -39.47%$21.72 - $25.92 $ 23.3-4%23000History
Tweedy Browne 2009-12-31 Add 88.22%0.47%$21.36 - $24.94 $ 23.31%1160479History
Bruce Berkowitz 2009-12-31 Add 10.26%0.45%$21.36 - $24.94 $ 23.31%20247644History
Tom Gayner 2009-12-31 Add 18.39%0.11%$21.36 - $24.94 $ 23.31%418400History
Prem Watsa 2009-12-31 Reduce -40.56%0.11%$21.36 - $24.94 $ 23.31%401800History
George Soros 2009-12-31 Add 98.1%0.01%$21.36 - $24.94 $ 23.31%59429History
Third Avenue Management 2009-09-30 Add 7.38%0.12%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%3888492History
Bruce Berkowitz 2009-09-30 Add 1.97%0.11%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%18363872History
Prem Watsa 2009-09-30 Reduce -32.4%0.08%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%676000History
John Keeley 2009-09-30 Reduce -41.84%0.04%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%249504History
George Soros 2009-09-30 New Buy0.02%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%30000History
Jean-Marie Eveillard 2009-09-30 Reduce -22.76%$18.25 - $26.33 $ 23.3-2%38000History
David Winters 2009-06-30 Reduce -36.58%0.89%$15.26 - $25.22 $ 23.313%442169History
Third Avenue Management 2009-06-30 Add 25.47%0.36%$15.26 - $25.22 $ 23.313%3621198History
Mohnish Pabrai 2009-06-30 Add 1.86%0.13%$15.26 - $25.22 $ 23.313%793972History
Tom Gayner 2009-06-30 Add 16.25%0.09%$15.26 - $25.22 $ 23.313%323400History
Third Avenue Management 2009-03-31 Add 303.86%0.86%$10.85 - $20.31 $ 23.350%2886148History
David Winters 2009-03-31 Reduce -26.39%0.82%$10.85 - $20.31 $ 23.350%697169History
Prem Watsa 2009-03-31 New Buy0.34%$10.85 - $20.31 $ 23.350%1000000History
Tom Gayner 2009-03-31 Add 30.67%0.1%$10.85 - $20.31 $ 23.350%278200History
Ruane Cunniff 2009-03-31 Add 59.31%$10.85 - $20.31 $ 23.350%20073History
Number of guru portfolios checked: 76. The trades of Premium Gurus are not included unless they are in your Personalized List.

*The price and date might not be the actual time and price at which the transactions were made. In the case of institutional owners, the date is stated as the last day of their fiscal quarter. The prices are estimates if no accurate information available. Foreign holdings may not be included.

Premium More recent guru trades are included for Premium Members only!!
Guru Holdings with LUK
Exclude other managers Click to exclude managers not in the List of Gurus.
Guru Portfolio Date* Change from Last Holdings Current Shares % of Shares Outstanding % of Total Assets Managed NEW!
Holding History
Chuck Akre 2012-03-31New Buy6042000.25%1.6%History
Tom Gayner 2012-03-31+4.46%6557660.27%0.79%History
Jean-Marie Eveillard 2012-03-31200000.01%0%History
Donald Yacktman 2012-03-31149500.01%0%History
Tweedy Browne 2012-03-315390220.22%0.48%History
Bruce Berkowitz 2012-03-31-0.53%181809807.43%6.1%History
Ruane Cunniff 2012-03-31-2.92%164710.01%0%History
Third Avenue Management 2012-03-31-5.26%32554791.33%2%History
John Keeley 2012-03-31-7.53%1106120.05%0.06%History
Insider Trades with LUK
Exclude other managers Click Here for All Insider Trades.


No Insider Trades Found!
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Business Description
LEUCADIA NATL is a diversified financial services holding companyprincipally engaged in personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance, life insurance, banking and lending and manufacturing. The Company concentrates on return on investment and cash flow to build long-term shareholder value, rather than emphasizing volume or market share. Additionally, the Company continuously evaluates the retention and disposition of its existing operations and investigates possible acquisitions of new businesses in order to maximize shareholder value.
Company Website
SEC Reports
Industry: Nonlife Insurance » Property & Casualty Insurance
Compare:MMM, GE, TXT, RAVN, TYC, SI
Personalized Check List







Within your circle of competence?
Macro economic environment favorable?
High quality business?
Enough margin of safety with stocks?
Gurus are buying?
Insiders are buying?
Management capible and shareholder friendly?
Catalyst for stock price to appreciate?
Your level of confidence with the research?
Notes on LUK
Summary of Fair Value Votes within 12 monthes
Be the first to vote for the Fair Value of LUK:
My Vote: $

My notes about LUK:


Notes from other users:

geodav 01-23-2012

$LUK: sold $21.30  Add a comment

geodav 01-23-2012
$LUK: 400

Read more notes

chentao1006 01-18-2012

$LUK:   Add a comment


rabbit 11-13-2011

$LUK: gurus owns alot of Jefferies  Add a comment


rabbit 10-16-2011

$LUK: really a berkshire hathaway type , but owns a bunch of Jefferies  Add a comment


Bob_in_Maryland 06-13-2011

Leucadia National Corporation [LUK -nyse] .... BV per share (mrq): $28.24 .... generates ROA of 18.55% .... ROE: 29.71% .... ROI: 20.27% ... Profit Margin: 111.18% .... founded in 1854 ... Chairman: [url=http://www.gurufocus.com/StockBuy.php?GuruName=Ian+Cumming]Ian Cumming[/url]; President: Joseph Steinberg ... P/E of 4.84 situates LUK at a discount to other, diversified, companies  Add a comment


Discounted Cashflow Calculation
Calculation Formula Update Here

Enter Symbol:
 
Earnings Per Share: $
  
Default value for Earning per Share is the TTM GAAP earning. Use the information at left side to adjust.

Growth Rate
In the Next
Years: %
  
The number of years in the growth stage, and the average annual growth rate. The default value for the growth rate is the average growth rate of the past 10 years. If this growth rate is high than 20% a year, it is set to 20%.
Business Predictability  
Years of Terminal Growth:
  
The number of years for terminal value calculation. The value after this is considered zero. Default is 10.
Terminal Growth Rate: %
  
After the growth stage, it is more reasonable to set the terminal growth rate at the inflation rate. The terminal growth rate must be smaller than the discount rate to make the calculation converge.
Discount Rate:
%
  
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which is about 11%, because investors can always invest passively in an index fund and get an average return. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 10% - 20%.
Book Value:
 $
  
Default Book Value is the tangible book value, which may underestimate or overestimate the real value
+ Growth Value:
  
  
Cumulative earnings during the growth stage discounted to current using the discount rate.
+ Terminal Value:
  
  
Cumulative earnings during the terminal stage discounted to current using the discount rate.
= Fair Value:
  
  
Intrinsic Value = Book Value + Future Earnings at Growth Stage + Terminal Value.
 
Margin Of Safety:
 
LUK on Twitter
User Portfolios that Have LUK
  • fredc: voted the fair value for $55 - May 24, 2011
  • cochineal: voted the fair value for $64 - Apr 01, 2011
  • besterman: voted the fair value for $30 - May 13, 2010
  • sifton: voted the fair value for $44.5 - Mar 18, 2010
  • besterman: voted the fair value for $25 - Feb 22, 2010
  • BigPapa714: voted the fair value for $28 - Feb 18, 2010
  • yanivsp: voted the fair value for $50 - Oct 28, 2009
  • teglasb: voted the fair value for $25 - Aug 24, 2009
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