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Also traded in: Germany, Mexico

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 6/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash-to-Debt 0.07
PGR's Cash-to-Debt is ranked lower than
97% of the 133 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 2.41 vs. PGR: 0.07 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash-to-Debt only.
PGR' s Cash-to-Debt Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 0.07 Max: No Debt
Current: 0.07
Equity-to-Asset 0.25
PGR's Equity-to-Asset is ranked lower than
59% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.27 vs. PGR: 0.25 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity-to-Asset only.
PGR' s Equity-to-Asset Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16  Med: 0.27 Max: 0.38
Current: 0.25
0.16
0.38
Interest Coverage 12.02
PGR's Interest Coverage is ranked lower than
65% of the 130 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 28.75 vs. PGR: 12.02 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Interest Coverage only.
PGR' s Interest Coverage Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.44  Med: 11.72 Max: 16.32
Current: 12.02
10.44
16.32
Beneish M-Score: -2.63
WACC vs ROIC
6.86%
18.87%
WACC
ROIC
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 5/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Operating Margin % 7.13
PGR's Operating Margin % is ranked lower than
63% of the 133 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 9.20 vs. PGR: 7.13 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Operating Margin % only.
PGR' s Operating Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.73  Med: 9.45 Max: 11.53
Current: 7.13
-1.73
11.53
Net Margin % 4.95
PGR's Net Margin % is ranked lower than
66% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 7.16 vs. PGR: 4.95 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Net Margin % only.
PGR' s Net Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.55  Med: 6.43 Max: 8.05
Current: 4.95
-0.55
8.05
ROE % 14.97
PGR's ROE % is ranked higher than
78% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 8.60 vs. PGR: 14.97 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE % only.
PGR' s ROE % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.53  Med: 17.97 Max: 21.23
Current: 14.97
-1.53
21.23
ROA % 3.64
PGR's ROA % is ranked higher than
65% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 2.21 vs. PGR: 3.64 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA % only.
PGR' s ROA % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.38  Med: 4.84 Max: 6.17
Current: 3.64
-0.38
6.17
3-Year Revenue Growth Rate 10.00
PGR's 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate is ranked higher than
72% of the 125 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 5.60 vs. PGR: 10.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate only.
PGR' s 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -46.7  Med: 12.1 Max: 146.9
Current: 10
-46.7
146.9
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate -1.20
PGR's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is ranked higher than
50% of the 115 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: -1.20 vs. PGR: -1.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate only.
PGR' s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 7.9 Max: 235.5
Current: -1.2
0
235.5
3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate -3.00
PGR's 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is ranked lower than
53% of the 107 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: -1.00 vs. PGR: -3.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate only.
PGR' s 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -51  Med: 10.6 Max: 201.3
Current: -3
-51
201.3
» PGR's 10-Y Financials

Financials (Next Earnings Date: 2017-04-25 Est.)


Revenue & Net Income
Equity & Asset
Operating Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow & Net Income

» Details

Guru Trades

Q2 2016

PGR Guru Trades in Q2 2016

Louis Moore Bacon 13,791 sh (New)
John Hussman 350,000 sh (+40.00%)
Pioneer Investments 395,039 sh (+18.77%)
John Rogers 1,770,198 sh (+16.91%)
Paul Tudor Jones 8,777 sh (+12.53%)
RS Investment Management 4,593,043 sh (+4.02%)
Diamond Hill Capital 4,468,279 sh (+0.78%)
Jerome Dodson 500,000 sh (unchged)
Richard Pzena 496,260 sh (unchged)
Leucadia National Sold Out
Andreas Halvorsen Sold Out
PRIMECAP Management 11,738,275 sh (-0.24%)
Jim Simons 1,521,800 sh (-10.41%)
Ken Fisher 170,702 sh (-12.02%)
Ruane Cunniff 38,902 sh (-21.88%)
Jeremy Grantham 762,758 sh (-28.44%)
Steven Cohen 145,800 sh (-63.60%)
» More
Q3 2016

PGR Guru Trades in Q3 2016

Paul Tudor Jones 49,314 sh (+461.85%)
Jim Simons 2,514,000 sh (+65.20%)
Jerome Dodson 500,000 sh (unchged)
Richard Pzena 496,260 sh (unchged)
Pioneer Investments 395,039 sh (unchged)
Diamond Hill Capital 4,310,436 sh (-3.53%)
John Rogers 1,701,394 sh (-3.89%)
Steven Cohen 138,100 sh (-5.28%)
Louis Moore Bacon 12,684 sh (-8.03%)
Ken Fisher 150,075 sh (-12.08%)
PRIMECAP Management 9,883,150 sh (-15.80%)
Ruane Cunniff 26,819 sh (-31.06%)
John Hussman 103,800 sh (-70.34%)
Jeremy Grantham 28,731 sh (-96.23%)
» More
Q4 2016

PGR Guru Trades in Q4 2016

Ray Dalio 6,300 sh (New)
Andreas Halvorsen 1,724,942 sh (New)
Steven Cohen 284,600 sh (+106.08%)
Jerome Dodson 800,000 sh (+60.00%)
Diamond Hill Capital 4,960,272 sh (+15.08%)
Jim Simons 2,742,869 sh (+9.10%)
Richard Pzena 496,260 sh (unchged)
Pioneer Investments Sold Out
John Rogers 1,696,257 sh (-0.30%)
PRIMECAP Management 9,629,400 sh (-2.57%)
Ken Fisher 145,885 sh (-2.79%)
Jeremy Grantham 25,831 sh (-10.09%)
Ruane Cunniff 20,019 sh (-25.36%)
Paul Tudor Jones 12,383 sh (-74.89%)
John Hussman 3,800 sh (-96.34%)
» More
Q1 2017

PGR Guru Trades in Q1 2017

Jerome Dodson 850,000 sh (+6.25%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with PGR

(List those with share number changes of more than 20%, or impact to portfolio more than 0.1%)

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Business Description

Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty » Insurance - Property & Casualty    NAICS: 524126    SIC: 6331
Compare:OTCPK:PPCCY, OTCPK:SAXPY, NYSE:ALL, NYSE:L, OTCPK:TKOMY, NYSE:MKL, OTCPK:QBIEY, OTCPK:SNMCY, NYSE:TRV, NYSE:CNA, NAS:CINF, OTCPK:FRFHF, NYSE:XL, OTCPK:IAUGY, NYSE:Y, OTCPK:IFCZF, NYSE:WRB, NYSE:AFG, OTCPK:AGESY, OTCPK:RSNAY » details
Traded in other countries:PGV.Germany, PGR.Mexico,
Headquarter Location:USA
Progressive Corp is an insurance holding company, whose subsidiaries provides personal and commercial automobile insurance and other property-casualty insurance and related services throughout the United States.

Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has more than 14 million policies in force and is the fourth-largest auto insurer in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through more than 35,000 independent insurance agencies in the U.S. and Canada and directly via the Internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company recently entered homeowners' insurance through an acquisition.

Guru Investment Theses on Progressive Corp

John Rogers Comments on Progressive Corp - Oct 20, 2015

During the quarter, we purchased Progressive Corp. (NYSE:PGR) in Ariel Appreciation Fund. Progressive is the fourth-largest auto insurer by market share in the U.S. Investors are skeptical of the company’s growth potential and margin sustainability (given intense competition, a recent move into homeowners and rising frequency losses). We, however, see this as an opportunity for long-term investors to own a rare example of a differentiated insurer, well-positioned to benefit from continued share gains, direct channel efficiencies and eventually, rising interest rates. We did not exit any positions during the quarter.

From John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio)' Ariel Appreciation Fund third quarter 2015 shareholder letter.

Check out John Rogers latest stock trades

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
PE Ratio 19.30
PGR's PE Ratio is ranked lower than
71% of the 122 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 15.99 vs. PGR: 19.30 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio only.
PGR' s PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.81  Med: 12.79 Max: 22.9
Current: 19.3
9.81
22.9
Forward PE Ratio 18.21
PGR's Forward PE Ratio is ranked lower than
86% of the 98 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 14.71 vs. PGR: 18.21 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward PE Ratio only.
N/A
PE Ratio without NRI 19.30
PGR's PE Ratio without NRI is ranked lower than
70% of the 122 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 16.11 vs. PGR: 19.30 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio without NRI only.
PGR' s PE Ratio without NRI Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.81  Med: 12.79 Max: 22.9
Current: 19.3
9.81
22.9
Price-to-Owner-Earnings 9.52
PGR's Price-to-Owner-Earnings is ranked higher than
64% of the 81 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 11.49 vs. PGR: 9.52 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Owner-Earnings only.
PGR' s Price-to-Owner-Earnings Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.24  Med: 9.26 Max: 14.74
Current: 9.52
7.24
14.74
PB Ratio 2.72
PGR's PB Ratio is ranked lower than
89% of the 135 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.34 vs. PGR: 2.72 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PB Ratio only.
PGR' s PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.63  Med: 2.3 Max: 3.33
Current: 2.72
1.63
3.33
PS Ratio 0.99
PGR's PS Ratio is ranked higher than
58% of the 135 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.14 vs. PGR: 0.99 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PS Ratio only.
PGR' s PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54  Med: 0.87 Max: 1.5
Current: 0.99
0.54
1.5
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 9.32
PGR's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
62% of the 91 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 10.90 vs. PGR: 9.32 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow only.
PGR' s Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.51  Med: 8.71 Max: 13.7
Current: 9.32
4.51
13.7
Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow 8.58
PGR's Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
63% of the 99 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 10.10 vs. PGR: 8.58 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow only.
PGR' s Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.24  Med: 8.18 Max: 11.35
Current: 8.58
4.24
11.35
EV-to-EBIT 11.89
PGR's EV-to-EBIT is ranked lower than
67% of the 184 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 10.44 vs. PGR: 11.89 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.
PGR' s EV-to-EBIT Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -246.9  Med: 8.3 Max: 2399.8
Current: 11.89
-246.9
2399.8
EV-to-EBITDA 10.98
PGR's EV-to-EBITDA is ranked lower than
65% of the 182 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 9.70 vs. PGR: 10.98 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBITDA only.
PGR' s EV-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.1  Med: 8 Max: 236.2
Current: 10.98
6.1
236.2
PEG Ratio 3.80
PGR's PEG Ratio is ranked lower than
90% of the 58 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.89 vs. PGR: 3.80 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG Ratio only.
PGR' s PEG Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2  Med: 0.83 Max: 11.65
Current: 3.8
0.2
11.65
Shiller PE Ratio 23.39
PGR's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked lower than
83% of the 58 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 19.57 vs. PGR: 23.39 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller PE Ratio only.
PGR' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.9  Med: 14.9 Max: 29.08
Current: 23.39
8.9
29.08

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
Dividend Yield % 1.72
PGR's Dividend Yield % is ranked lower than
77% of the 191 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 2.81 vs. PGR: 1.72 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Yield % only.
PGR' s Dividend Yield % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.04  Med: 1.82 Max: 2.85
Current: 1.72
0.04
2.85
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.50
PGR's Dividend Payout Ratio is ranked lower than
63% of the 142 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.36 vs. PGR: 0.50 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Payout Ratio only.
PGR' s Dividend Payout Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1  Med: 0.25 Max: 0.51
Current: 0.5
0.1
0.51
3-Year Dividend Growth Rate 46.10
PGR's 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate is ranked higher than
93% of the 82 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 10.20 vs. PGR: 46.10 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate only.
PGR' s 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 6.8 Max: 69.1
Current: 46.1
0
69.1
Forward Dividend Yield % 1.73
PGR's Forward Dividend Yield % is ranked lower than
80% of the 192 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 2.80 vs. PGR: 1.73 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Dividend Yield % only.
N/A
5-Year Yield-on-Cost % 4.15
PGR's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is ranked lower than
58% of the 189 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 5.36 vs. PGR: 4.15 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % only.
PGR' s 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1  Med: 4.36 Max: 6.83
Current: 4.15
0.1
6.83
3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio 0.90
PGR's 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio is ranked higher than
73% of the 82 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: -0.60 vs. PGR: 0.90 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio only.
PGR' s 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.7  Med: 1.7 Max: 5.4
Current: 0.9
-7.7
5.4

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price-to-Tangible-Book 3.01
PGR's Price-to-Tangible-Book is ranked lower than
88% of the 128 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.63 vs. PGR: 3.01 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Tangible-Book only.
PGR' s Price-to-Tangible-Book Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.94  Med: 2.87 Max: 4.8
Current: 3.01
1.94
4.8
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF 0.79
PGR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked higher than
51% of the 90 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.79 vs. PGR: 0.79 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF only.
PGR' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42  Med: 0.71 Max: 1.99
Current: 0.79
0.42
1.99
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) 1.80
PGR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than
100% of the 7 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.01 vs. PGR: 1.80 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
N/A
Price-to-Median-PS-Value 1.14
PGR's Price-to-Median-PS-Value is ranked lower than
54% of the 123 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.06 vs. PGR: 1.14 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Median-PS-Value only.
PGR' s Price-to-Median-PS-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86  Med: 1.31 Max: 10.92
Current: 1.14
0.86
10.92
Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value 2.79
PGR's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked lower than
94% of the 32 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.90 vs. PGR: 2.79 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.
PGR' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39  Med: 0.68 Max: 6.75
Current: 2.79
0.39
6.75
Price-to-Graham-Number 1.61
PGR's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked lower than
83% of the 113 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.09 vs. PGR: 1.61 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Graham-Number only.
PGR' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04  Med: 1.35 Max: 4.43
Current: 1.61
1.04
4.43
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % 8.40
PGR's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % is ranked lower than
66% of the 190 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 9.58 vs. PGR: 8.40 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % only.
PGR' s Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2  Med: 12 Max: 15.6
Current: 8.4
0.2
15.6
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % 15.84
PGR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked higher than
55% of the 74 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.

( Industry Median: 11.92 vs. PGR: 15.84 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
PGR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -29  Med: 17.8 Max: 79.1
Current: 15.84
-29
79.1

More Statistics

Revenue (TTM) (Mil) $24,206
EPS (TTM) $ 2.05
Beta0.85
Short Percentage of Float1.03%
52-Week Range $30.54 - 40.74
Shares Outstanding (Mil)580.90

Analyst Estimate

Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Revenue (Mil $) 25,768 28,012 30,544
EPS ($) 2.17 2.36 2.85
EPS without NRI ($) 2.17 2.36 2.85
EPS Growth Rate
(Future 3Y To 5Y Estimate)
14.30%
Dividends per Share ($) 0.94 0.82 0.74
» More Articles for PGR

Headlines

Articles On GuruFocus.com
Jerome Dodson Adds to 9 Positions in 4th Quarter Mar 01 2017 
Buying a Good Business in a Bad Industry Feb 20 2017 
How I Research Stocks Feb 18 2017 
How to Tell Management Is Cost Conscious Feb 15 2017 
How to Tell Which Company Will Survive an Industry Downturn Feb 15 2017 
How to Research an Industry Dec 11 2016 
How to Value an Insurer Using the S&P 500 as a Yardstick Dec 08 2016 
Talking to Customers Is More Useful Than Talking to Management Dec 06 2016 
Why I Concentrate Nov 29 2016 
This Insurance Company Is Making Money Despite Weak Investment Returns and Competition Jun 28 2016 

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