Biogen Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Modestly Undervalued

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GF Value
Mar 28, 2021
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The stock of Biogen (NAS:BIIB, 30-year Financials) is believed to be modestly undervalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $276.63 per share and the market cap of $42.1 billion, Biogen stock gives every indication of being modestly undervalued. GF Value for Biogen is shown in the chart below.

Biogen GF Value Chart

Because Biogen is relatively undervalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be higher than its business growth, which averaged 13.1% over the past five years.

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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Biogen has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.33, which which ranks worse than 70% of the companies in Drug Manufacturers industry. The overall financial strength of Biogen is 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Biogen is fair. This is the debt and cash of Biogen over the past years:

debt and cash

It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Biogen has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $13.4 billion and earnings of $24.45 a share. Its operating margin is 33.07%, which ranks better than 95% of the companies in Drug Manufacturers industry. Overall, the profitability of Biogen is ranked 9 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Biogen over the past years:

Revnue and Net Income

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Biogen is 13.1%, which ranks better than 70% of the companies in Drug Manufacturers industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 5.4%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Drug Manufacturers industry.

Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Biogen's ROIC was 18.80, while its WACC came in at 3.03. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Biogen is shown below:

ROIC vs WACC

In closing, the stock of Biogen (NAS:BIIB, 30-year Financials) is believed to be modestly undervalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Drug Manufacturers industry. To learn more about Biogen stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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