Companies Ranked by Business Predictability

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Ticker Company Predictability Rank 10-Year EBIT Growth Rate 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate (Per Share) 1-Year EBIT Growth Rate Market Cap ($M) PE Ratio PEG Ratio Current Price DCF (FCF Based) Dividend Yield %
1110.305.2014,182.0960.985.84$43.3012.880.90
11.309.70-6.206,426.4539.584.37$23.863.150.80
11.309.70-6.206,426.4540.424.37$5.930.770
23.8022.3019.4021,586.5228.481.27$251.42255.620
11.5011.7004,298.9027.212.43$59.8529.281.75
11.4011.709.2011,074.8436.063.09$143.5041.451.06
19.6022.40-15.605,814.9600$2.70-0.010
19.6022.40-15.606,232.7700$14.47-0.035.45
10.1014.70-1.104,309.6734.152.34$88.40128.821.94
16.9022.2015.201,048.3813.260.58$41.2875.661.14
9.909.3012.4010,023.4532.633.48$262.12147.601
19.8015.1029.208,186.9953.093.30$133.7089.400
1717.6042.60961.1618.781.09$45.6035.741
13.1013.7019.9031,158.2427.161.99$104.5742.400.88
17.1020.1035.901,450.9516.150.85$47.5033.110.63
4.907.5015.1014,895.7723.583.15$80.4245.342.07
8.709.901616,952.0531.233.13$239.5884.940
24.8020.1012.9044,532.9010.480.52$226.39277.540
26.1029.2028.7018,631.4249.571.73$879.19842.370.34
23.1018.3016.2013,391.2024.631.34$0.91-0.100.53
12.6013.4013.9018,100.2736.562.73$728.73323.120
2528.602.20816.4511.920.42$3.409.950
2528.602.20751.6112.040.42$6.2618.138.13
13.509.6030.901,168.7523.792.44$32.348.551.27
18.7017.3020.202,912.8596.545.58$37.7122.870
12.7014.70-7.1085,259.9069.644.73$192.91156.441.71
34.5031.6016.505,413.7464.351.99$22.1200.26
17.1017.3016.808,617.429.280.54$162.601,321.471.44
25.2022.3014.4011,141.7647.232.23$122.638.930.46
9.2011.108.107,201.4026.722.40$14.704.640
9.2011.108.107,201.4026.592.40$28.909.160
11.109.20117,531.8317.311.90$41.3123.551.68
9.809-13.9013,327.1023.642.62$34.4015.901.43
10.109.6012.70140,200.0634.843.63$89.2049.770.95
13.5013-18.3020,340.6732.322.48$62.7147.770
23.5033.4062.8035,722.107.270.22$40.6143.484.08
23.5033.4062.8035,722.107.100.22$1.671.830
17.9011.50-3.307,216.0618.921.69$368.02-406.210
14.4013.7012.80212,777.6718.191.33$221.75274.491.62
1111.606.409,941.6127.012.33$15.82-2.010.38
Total 1254
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What is Predictability Rank?


GuruFocus recently conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy "buy good companies at fair prices" for the years 1998-2008. We focused on the companies that Warren Buffett likes, which are the companies that have predictable and proven earnings. For details, go to: GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank .

From this study we have developed the concept of Predictability Rank of businesses. We have found strong correlations between the Predictability of Businesses and the long term return of stocks, as shown in this table.


We can clearly see that companies with higher Predictability Rank had much better stock performances. The possibility of losing money with long term holding period is also greatly reduced.