Companies Ranked by Business Predictability

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Ticker
Company
Predictability Rank
10-Year EBIT Growth Rate
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate (Per Share)
EBITDA per Share is the amount of Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) per outstanding share of the company's stock. More
1-Year EBIT Growth Rate
Market Cap ($M)
Market cap is the total market value to buy the whole company. It is equal to the share price times the number of Shares Outstanding (EOP). More
PE Ratio
PEG Ratio
PEG is defined as the PE Ratio without NRI divided by the growth ratio. The growth rate we use is the 5-year average EBITDA growth rate. More
Current Price
DCF (FCF Based)
Dividend Yield %
The dividend yield is the ratio of a company's annual dividend compared to its share price. More
1110.305.2013,294.5557.175.51$40.5912.880.95
11.309.70-6.206,486.4142.624.39$23.442.870.81
11.309.70-6.206,807.4144.734.39$6.150.720
12.1011.709.2010,459.7534.062.91$135.5341.451.11
23.8022.3019.4020,395.6526.971.21$237.55255.620
11.5011.7004,391.6127.862.35$61.2629.281.70
8.709.9016.1017,632.8132.233.24$246.5784.390
10.1014.70-1.104,136.9432.892.23$84.85128.822.02
13.1013.7019.9028,085.7924.481.80$94.2242.400.97
9.909.308.708,895.7432.583.52$233.88145.891.08
17.1020.1035.901,463.1716.300.81$47.9032.690.64
17.1017.6041.30951.2618.581.06$45.1335.741.01
17.7022.9013.501,087.7213.760.60$43.0674.161.09
24.8020.1012.9043,610.3310.260.50$221.70277.540
26.1029.2028.7017,328.8646.301.60$817.73838.500.36
12.6013.4013.9017,693.6635.822.63$712.36323.120
2528.602.20900.4913.950.49$7.5018.756.78
12.5017.50-86,774.697.350.44$2.474.3211.39
13.509.6030.901,047.3921.332.28$30.018.851.36
12.7014.70-7.1086,515.3870.794.76$196.12156.441.62
18.5017.3020.202,702.5490.075.12$34.9322.710
3833.1020.205,403.1963.721.88$21.6500
17.1017.3016.808,714.419.380.54$164.431,321.471.40
13.5013-18.3018,394.5129.852.31$56.7152.050
21.302227.704,738.1151.220$2.20013.79
21.302227.706,534.2951.840$15.17015.13
25.2022.3014.4011,648.3749.162.21$127.538.920.45
19.9014.5029.207,420.9647.643.30$116.3885.560
9.2011.108.107,563.5527.652.55$15.554.740
9.2011.108.107,728.9328.252.55$30.158.990
10.409-13.9013,092.3123.202.56$33.4615.761.48
119.2011.307,128.8416.511.79$39.3223.101.74
17.9022.3021.5016,243.0733.841.52$191.85135.271.09
23.5033.2062.9036,638.957.340.21$37.0104.47
23.5033.2062.9034,564.856.920.21$1.5100
10.109.609.70129,334.6962.746.53$82.1846.761.02
8.108.8021.808,305.7225.452.88$229.30186.280
1413.7012.80236,161.6320.191.48$246.12274.491.47
1111.606.4010,181.8727.362.30$15.99-2.010.37
20.9020.5061.6047,421.3810.310.50$4.114.150
Total 1137
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What is Predictability Rank?


GuruFocus recently conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy "buy good companies at fair prices" for the years 1998-2008. We focused on the companies that Warren Buffett likes, which are the companies that have predictable and proven earnings. For details, go to: GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank .

From this study we have developed the concept of Predictability Rank of businesses. We have found strong correlations between the Predictability of Businesses and the long term return of stocks, as shown in this table.


We can clearly see that companies with higher Predictability Rank had much better stock performances. The possibility of losing money with long term holding period is also greatly reduced.