The stock of National Retail Properties (NYSE:NNN, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $45.24 per share and the market cap of $7.9 billion, National Retail Properties stock is believed to be fairly valued. GF Value for National Retail Properties is shown in the chart below.
Because National Retail Properties is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth.
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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. National Retail Properties has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.08, which is in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. The overall financial strength of National Retail Properties is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of National Retail Properties is poor. This is the debt and cash of National Retail Properties over the past years:
Companies that have been consistently profitable over the long term offer less risk for investors who may want to purchase shares. Higher profit margins usually dictate a better investment compared to a company with lower profit margins. National Retail Properties has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $660.7 million and earnings of $1.22 a share. Its operating margin is 60.16%, which ranks better than 69% of the companies in REITs industry. Overall, the profitability of National Retail Properties is ranked 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of National Retail Properties over the past years:
Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. National Retail Properties's 3-year average revenue growth rate is in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. National Retail Properties's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -4.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, National Retail Properties's return on invested capital is 5.38, and its cost of capital is 6.23. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of National Retail Properties is shown below:
In summary, National Retail Properties (NYSE:NNN, 30-year Financials) stock is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. To learn more about National Retail Properties stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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