The stock of Weibo (NAS:WB, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $49.06 per share and the market cap of $11.2 billion, Weibo stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. GF Value for Weibo is shown in the chart below.
Because Weibo is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 13.3% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 9.11% annually over the next three to five years.
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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Weibo has a cash-to-debt ratio of 1.40, which ranks worse than 74% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Weibo's financial strength as 5 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Weibo over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Weibo has been profitable 6 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $1.8 billion and earnings of $1.36 a share. Its operating margin of 30.53% better than 87% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Weibo's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of Weibo over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Weibo is 13.3%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 2.1%, which ranks worse than 69% of the companies in Interactive Media industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Weibo's return on invested capital is 22.63, and its cost of capital is 6.96. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Weibo is shown below:
In summary, Weibo (NAS:WB, 30-year Financials) stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks worse than 69% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. To learn more about Weibo stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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