The stock of Hermes International SA (OTCPK:HESAY, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $144.885 per share and the market cap of $151.6 billion, Hermes International SA stock appears to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Hermes International SA is shown in the chart below.
Because Hermes International SA is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 4.9% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 10.60% annually over the next three to five years.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company’s financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Hermes International SA has a cash-to-debt ratio of 2.81, which which ranks better than 78% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. The overall financial strength of Hermes International SA is 7 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Hermes International SA is fair. This is the debt and cash of Hermes International SA over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Hermes International SA has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $7.5 billion and earnings of $1.578 a share. Its operating margin is 31.86%, which ranks better than 98% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. Overall, the profitability of Hermes International SA is ranked 9 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Hermes International SA over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Hermes International SA is 4.9%, which ranks better than 69% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 5.5%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical.
Another way to evaluate a company’s profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Hermes International SA’s ROIC was 26.37, while its WACC came in at 2.80. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Hermes International SA is shown below:
In conclusion, The stock of Hermes International SA (OTCPK:HESAY, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. To learn more about Hermes International SA stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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