A Look at R&D Spending in Pharma

The amount of research and development spending among pharmaceutical companies may provide a preview for future prospects

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Sep 12, 2021
Summary
  • GAAP accounting may misrepresent R&D spending as expense rather than investments.
  • This may cause to show that some companies may be under-earning.
  • Investors should think of R&D as a capital expenditure that will pay off in the future.
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In GAAP accounting, fixed assets are usually capitalized on a company’s balance sheet and subsequently amortized over their expected useful life.

For intangible assets, the accounting treatment differs based on whether the asset was created internally or purchased from a third party. Generally speaking, intangible assets developed in-house are immediately expensed through the income statement, while the same assets acquired externally would be capitalized on the balance sheet and subsequently amortized. Besides the obvious inconsistency, this treatment assigns zero asset value on the balance sheets of companies investing large sums of capital into internal research and development efforts or software development. A direct consequence of this method of expensing R&D is that reported earnings become depressed. In other words, the company is currently under-earning despite typically investing ahead of future revenue-generating opportunities.

Conversely, companies that don’t invest significantly in intangibles may well be over-earning. These are typically asset-heavy and capital-intensive, but less likely to generate significant long-term shareholder value based on their life cycle stage and the heightened risk to their business model of commoditization. They are also typically cyclical, like automakers, steel plants or mining companies.

Research-based pharmaceutical companies

Research-based pharmaceutical companies are particularly prone to this under-earning tendency. They typically invest a large portion of their revenue in R&D, which is then expensed immediately. This has the effect of depressing profits, but does not take into account the future payoff of that investment. As investors, we must think of pharmaceutical R&D as a capital expenditure rather than an expense.

The following table shows a list of the largest research-based drug manufacturers who spend at least 15% of their revenue on R&D and are profitable (i.e., have a price-earnings ratio of greater than 1). In addition to the price-earnings ratio and market cap, I have also listed the percent of revenue a company is spending on R&D (R&D divided by revenue). For example, Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK, Financial) spent a massive 32.98% of its revenue on R&D, which will help produce new revenue in the future. So arguably, Merck is under-earning at the present time because of its huge investment for the future.

Company Current Price Symbol R&D/Rev PE Ratio (TTM) Market Cap ($M)
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK, Financial) 73.45 MRK 32.98% 33.54 185929.471
Roche Holding AG (XSWX:ROG, Financial) 46.69 RHHBY 22.66% 21.17 319083.662
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Financial) 166.97 JNJ 15.07% 25.11 439545.535
Pfizer Inc. (PFE, Financial) 45.59 PFE 19.41% 19.57 255608.922
Novartis AG (NVS, Financial) 85.43 NVS 17.75% 21.89 191968.69
AstraZeneca PLC (AZN, Financial) 56.26 AZN 24.29% 38.77 175212.164
GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK, Financial) 39.75 GSK 15.36% 16.32 100005.833
Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY, Financial) 239.5 LLY 24.92% 36.49 229101.124
Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD, Financial) 70.99 GILD 18.49% 17.31 89007.932
Amgen Inc. (AMGN, Financial) 213.75 AMGN 17.03% 21.74 121378.44
Biogen Inc. (BIIB, Financial) 299.81 BIIB 33.91% 24.06 44681.717
Daiichi Sankyo Co. Ltd. (TSE:4568) 26.04 DSNKY 22.91% 69.82 45209.867
Astellas Pharma Inc. (TSE:4503) 17.16 ALPMY 17.33% 35.01 31797.995
Eisai Co. Ltd. (TSE:4523) 75.51 ESALY 23.21% 39.76 21646.452
Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma Co. Ltd. (TSE:4506) 16.45 DNPUF 24.57% 19.35 7537.971
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. (TSE:4519) 19.04 CHGCY 15.21% 29.79 62598.57
Ono Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. (TSE:4528) 8.04 OPHLY 19.79% 16.76 12040.543
H. Lundbeck A/S (OCSE:LUN) 28.54 HLUYY 21.30% 19.34 5670.898
Shionogi & Co. Ltd. (TSE:4507) 16.99 SGIOY 18.78% 18.64 20487.392

Conclusion

The following chart expresses the same table as a graph with the price-earnings ratio along the Y-axis and R&D/Revenue ratio along the X-axis. The bubble size shows the relative market capitalization of the companies involved.

1437100457817280512.png

In examining the chart, Merck and Biogen stand out as companies spending a huge amount on R&D and yet have reasonable price-earnings multiples. I think we can hypothesize that these companies may be currently under-earning and should benefit from all that R&D spending in the future. GlaxoSmithKline is another company with solid R&D spend but a low price-earnings ratio. Thus, they are candidates for a deeper dive for a potential long-term investment.

Looking at the R&D/Revenue ratio can give an investor an additional dimension of insight over and above commonly used financial ratios. I plan to further examine this metric for other knowledge-based industries, such as software and biotechnology, who spend a lot of money on internal development. I suspect a similar pattern of low book value and under-earning may hold there.

Disclosures

I am/ we are currently short the stocks mentioned. Click for the complete disclosure