Vermilion Energy Inc. Announces Results for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2023

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Aug 02, 2023

PR Newswire

CALGARY, AB, Aug. 2, 2023 /PRNewswire/ - Vermilion Energy Inc. ("Vermilion", "We", "Our", "Us" or the "Company") (TSX: VET) (NYSE: VET) is pleased to report operating and condensed financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2023.

The unaudited interim financial statements and management discussion and analysis for the three and six months ended June 30, 2023 will be available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval Plus ("SEDAR+") at www.sedarplus.ca, on EDGAR at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml, and on Vermilion's website at www.vermilionenergy.com.

Highlights
  • Q2 2023 fund flows from operations ("FFO")(1) was $247 million ($1.51/basic share)(2) and exploration and development ("E&D") capital expenditures(3) were $167 million, resulting in free cash flow ("FCF")(4) of $80 million ($0.49/basic share)(5).
  • Net earnings were $128 million ($0.78/basic share) for Q2 2023, primarily driven by strong price realization.
  • The TTF natural gas benchmark price in Europe averaged $15.04 per mcf in Q2 2023, which was six times higher than the average AECO benchmark index price for the quarter. Approximately 41% of Vermilion's Q2 2023 gas production had direct exposure to European gas pricing.
  • Repurchased 1.5 million common shares for $24 million and paid cash dividends of $16 million, for a total of $40 million returned to shareholders in the quarter. In conjunction with our Q2 2023 release, we announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, payable on October 16, 2023 to shareholders of record on September 29, 2023.
  • In early July 2023, we announced the renewal of our normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") with approval to purchase of up to 16,308,587 common shares, representing approximately 10% of Vermilion's public float as at June 28, 2023.
  • Net debt(6) decreased to $1.3 billion, representing a trailing net debt-to-FFO ratio(7) of 1.0 times. We were undrawn on our $1.6 billion covenant-based revolving credit facility at the end of Q2 2023 and extended the maturity date of this facility to May 2027 during the quarter.
  • Q2 2023 production averaged 83,152 boe/d(8) an increase of 1% from the previous quarter due to the acquisition of additional working interest in the Corrib Natural Gas Project ("Corrib") in Ireland and new production from our Mica Montney, United States, and southeast Saskatchewan assets, partially offset by the disposition of higher-cost assets in southeast Saskatchewan and fire-related downtime in West Central Alberta.
  • All production that was temporarily shut-in as a result of the wildfires in West Central Alberta has been restored thanks to the hard work of our employees, and we confirm there was no major damage to our facilities or well sites.
  • As a result of strong operational execution and performance across our portfolio, we are maintaining our 2023 annual production guidance of 82,000 to 86,000 boe/d.
  • Late in the second quarter we received the final permit required to proceed with the construction of the 16,000 boe/d battery on our Montney Mica lands in British Columbia, which will facilitate the long-term development of our high-quality lands offsetting the strong BC well results.
  • We released the annual update to our online sustainability report in July 2023, marking our 10th year of ESG reporting. One notable highlight is the decrease in our 2022 Scope 1 emission intensity to 0.017 tCO2e per throughput operated boe, in line with our target to reduce our 2019 baseline of 0.019 tCO2e per throughput operated boe by 15% to 20% by 2025. The full report is available at https://www.vermilionenergy.com/sustainability.

($M except as indicated)

Q2 2023

Q1 2023

Q2 2022

YTD 2023

YTD 2022

Financial

Petroleum and natural gas sales

471,356

552,698

858,844

1,024,054

1,669,023

Cash flows from operating activities

173,632

388,629

530,364

562,261

871,417

Fund flows from operations (1)

247,109

253,167

452,901

500,276

842,769

Fund flows from operations ($/basic share) (2)

1.51

1.56

2.75

3.05

5.16

Fund flows from operations ($/diluted share) (2)

1.48

1.51

2.68

2.99

5.00

Net earnings

127,908

380,332

362,621

508,240

646,575

Net earnings ($/basic share)

0.78

2.34

2.20

3.10

3.96

Cash flows used in investing activities

164,404

108,695

612,634

273,099

722,964

Capital expenditures (3)

166,845

154,820

113,153

321,665

198,497

Acquisitions (14)

(9,716)

251,772

522,223

242,056

528,935

Dispositions

—

182,152

—

182,152

—

Asset retirement obligations settled

11,893

2,554

4,300

14,447

10,620

Repurchase of shares

24,316

30,141

—

54,457

—

Cash dividends ($/share)

0.10

0.10

0.06

0.20

0.12

Dividends declared

16,430

16,226

9,913

32,656

19,680

% of fund flows from operations (9)

7 %

6 %

2 %

7 %

2 %

Payout (10)

195,168

173,600

127,366

368,768

228,797

% of fund flows from operations (10)

79 %

69 %

28 %

74 %

27 %

Free cash flow (4)

80,264

98,347

339,748

178,611

644,272

Long-term debt

913,785

933,463

1,527,217

913,785

1,527,217

Net debt (6)

1,321,100

1,368,029

1,588,668

1,321,100

1,588,668

Net debt to four quarter trailing fund flows from operations (7)

1.0

0.9

1.1

1.0

1.1

Operational

Production (8)

Crude oil and condensate (bbls/d)

29,342

33,291

36,783

31,305

36,936

NGLs (bbls/d)

6,538

7,896

8,113

7,213

8,227

Natural gas (mmcf/d)

283.63

247.61

239.83

265.72

242.25

Total (boe/d)

83,152

82,455

84,868

82,805

85,537

Average realized prices

Crude oil and condensate ($/bbl)

96.64

98.62

138.55

97.66

129.48

NGLs ($/bbl)

28.11

36.23

51.86

32.53

49.38

Natural gas ($/mcf)

7.37

10.77

16.50

8.94

16.96

Production mix (% of production)

% priced with reference to WTI

32 %

39 %

39 %

35 %

38 %

% priced with reference to Dated Brent

12 %

12 %

16 %

11 %

16 %

% priced with reference to AECO

33 %

34 %

29 %

34 %

29 %

% priced with reference to TTF and NBP

23 %

15 %

16 %

20 %

17 %

Netbacks ($/boe)

Operating netback (11)

43.66

46.33

72.57

44.98

66.15

Fund flows from operations ($/boe) (12)

32.35

34.52

58.82

33.43

54.81

Operating expenses

17.91

18.66

14.89

18.28

14.75

General and administration expenses

2.63

2.71

2.04

2.67

1.95

Average reference prices

WTI (US $/bbl)

73.80

76.13

108.41

74.97

101.35

Dated Brent (US $/bbl)

78.39

81.27

113.78

79.83

107.59

AECO ($/mcf)

2.45

3.22

7.24

2.84

5.99

TTF ($/mcf)

15.04

22.99

38.08

19.03

38.93

Share information ('000s)

Shares outstanding - basic

164,294

162,261

165,222

164,294

165,222

Shares outstanding - diluted (13)

168,530

168,874

170,969

168,530

170,969

Weighted average shares outstanding - basic

164,997

162,585

164,518

163,798

163,452

Weighted average shares outstanding - diluted (13)

167,364

167,857

169,169

167,343

168,517

(1)

Fund flows from operations (FFO) is a total of segments measure comparable to net earnings that is comprised of sales less royalties, transportation, operating, G&A, corporate income tax, PRRT, windfall taxes, interest expense, realized gain on derivatives, realized foreign exchange gain (loss), and realized other income. The measure is used to assess the contribution of each business unit to Vermilion's ability to generate income necessary to pay dividends, repay debt, fund asset retirement obligations, and make capital investments. FFO does not have a standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other issuers. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(2)

Fund flows from operations per share (basic and diluted) are supplementary financial measures and are not a standardized financial measures under IFRS, and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers. They are calculated using FFO (a total of segments measure) and basic/diluted shares outstanding. The measure is used to assess the contribution per share of each business unit. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(3)

Capital expenditures is a non-GAAP financial measure that is the sum of drilling and development costs and exploration and evaluation costs from the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(4)

Free cash flow (FCF) is a non-GAAP financial measure comparable to cash flows from operating activities and is comprised of FFO less drilling and development and exploration and evaluation expenditures. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(5)

Free cash flow per basic share is a non-GAAP supplementary financial measure and is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers. It is calculated using FCF and basic shares outstanding.

(6)

Net debt is a capital management measure comparable to long-term debt and is comprised of long-term debt (excluding unrealized foreign exchange on swapped USD borrowings) plus adjusted working capital (defined as current assets less current liabilities, excluding current derivatives and current lease liabilities). More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(7)

Net debt to trailing FFO is a supplementary financial measure and is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS. It may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers and is calculated using net debt (capital management measure) and FFO (total of segment measure). The measure is used to assess the ability to repay debt. Information in this document is included by reference; refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(8)

Please refer to Supplemental Table 4 "Production" of the accompanying Management's Discussion and Analysis for disclosure by product type.

(9)

Dividends % of FFO is a supplementary financial measure that is not standardized under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers, calculated as dividends divided by FFO. The ratio is used by management as a metric to assess the cash distributed to shareholders. Reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(10)

Payout and payout % of FFO are a non-GAAP financial measure and a non-GAAP ratio, respectively, that are not standardized under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers. Payout is comparable to dividends declared and is comprised of dividends declared plus drilling and development costs, exploration and evaluation costs, and asset retirement obligations settled, while the ratio is calculated as payout divided by FFO. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(11)

Operating netback is a non-GAAP financial measure comparable to net earnings and is comprised of sales less royalties, operating expense, transportation costs, PRRT, and realized hedging gains and losses. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(12)

Fund flows from operations per boe is a supplementary financial measure that is not standardized under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers, calculated as FFO by boe production. Fund flows from operations per boe is used by management to assess the profitability of our business units and Vermilion as a whole. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

(13)

Diluted shares outstanding represent the sum of shares outstanding at the period end plus outstanding awards under the Long-term Incentive Plan ("LTIP"), based on current estimates of future performance factors and forfeiture rates.

(14)

Acquisitions is a non-GAAP financial measure that is calculated as the sum of acquisitions and acquisitions of securities from the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, Vermilion common shares issued as consideration, the estimated value of contingent consideration, the amount of acquiree's outstanding long-term debt assumed, and net acquired working capital deficit or surplus. More information and a reconciliation to primary financial statement measures can be found in the "Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures" section of this document.

Message to Shareholders

Production during the second quarter of 2023 averaged 83,152 boe/d, which was at the top end of our Q2 2023 guidance range. We revised our Q2 2023 production guidance in mid-May to a range of 80,000 to 83,000 boe/d following the temporary shut-in of approximately 30,000 boe/d in West Central Alberta due to numerous fires in the region. There was no major damage to our facilities or well sites, and our team was able to safely restore all of the production within weeks of the initial shut-in thanks to the hard work of our employees. In addition, we achieved strong operational performance across many of our other assets which further mitigated the approximately 8,000 boe/d quarterly production impact from the fire-related shut-ins in West Central Alberta and downtime in Australia. This operational flexibility is one of the advantages of operating a geographically diverse portfolio of assets. Due to the stronger than anticipated asset performance, we are maintaining annual 2023 production guidance of 82,000 to 86,000 boe/d and we are well positioned to deliver Q4 2023 production of 86,000 to 89,000 boe/d.

We generated $247 million of fund flows from operations ("FFO") in Q2 2023 and invested $167 million of E&D capital, resulting in $80 million of free cash flow ("FCF"). We returned a total of $40 million to shareholders in Q2 2023 via the base dividend and share buybacks. During the first half of 2023, we have declared $33 million in dividends and repurchased $54 million of our common shares, representing a total of $87 million returned to shareholders. We continue to target shareholder returns representing 25 to 30% of FCF for 2023 with the majority of FCF being allocated to debt reduction until we achieve our next net debt target of $1 billion. Upon achieving this debt target we plan to increase the capital return to shareholders and will communicate the targeted payout range at that time. We anticipate share buybacks will remain the primary method for returning incremental capital beyond the base dividend, and, as such, we renewed our normal course issuer bid in early July 2023. Net debt at the end of Q2 2023 decreased slightly to $1.3 billion, representing a trailing net debt-to-FFO ratio of 1.0 times.

The downtime in Australia continues to impact our 2023 results with the facility now expected to remain offline until the end of Q3 to complete additional work. While these delays impact short-term production and cash flow, it is the right long-term decision as it enhances the safety and integrity of our asset while improving future operational run-rates.

Late in the second quarter, we received the final permit required to proceed with the construction of the 16,000 boe/d battery on our Montney Mica lands in British Columbia. This is a key milestone that will facilitate the next leg of growth at Mica and underpin the long-term development of this asset. The results from our most recently drilled Montney wells are very encouraging as we continue to see flat production through the first 120 days on-stream, with 40% liquids content on our BC pad. We are excited to move forward with the next expansion phase and look forward to providing further updates in the quarters ahead.

Our disciplined approach towards debt reduction, combined with our asset high-grading initiatives over the past two years has made Vermilion a more resilient business today. By the end of this year we will have nearly cut our debt in half while significantly increasing our average annual FFO from pre-COVID levels. While strong commodity prices have contributed to this improvement, we believe the company is much better positioned. We believe our top decile netbacks, low base decline and capital efficient asset base, combined with our modest base dividend payout ratio, translates to a very resilient business that can be managed through low commodity cycles and is well positioned for increased return of capital to shareholders. With our leverage at a decade low and 2023 on track to deliver the second highest annual FFO in corporate history, we look forward to providing an update on returns to shareholders as we achieve our debt targets.

Q2 2023 Operations Review

North America

Production from our North American operations averaged 54,065 boe/d(1) in Q2 2023, a decrease of 10% from the prior quarter primarily due to the disposition of approximately 5,500 boe/d of higher-cost assets in southeast Saskatchewan and approximately 4,000 boe/d of fire-related downtime in West Central Alberta, partially offset by new production from our Mica Montney, United States, and southeast Saskatchewan assets. All production that was temporarily shut-in as a result of the wildfires in West Central Alberta has been restored, and there was no major damage to our facilities or well sites. We will continue to monitor the forest fires and take any necessary actions to ensure the safety of our people and assets.

Our recent Montney wells at Mica continue to perform well, with minimal decline seen over the first 120 days of production. We are encouraged by these results and will continue to optimize the drilling and completion process on future wells, including approximately 10 planned wells on or offsetting our recent BC pad that we expect to drill in 2024. We recently received the final permit required to proceed with construction of the planned 16,000 boe/d battery on our Montney Mica lands in British Columbia and will start site preparation for this activity later this year. The majority of this construction will occur in the first half of 2024 and will be funded through a financing agreement with a third-party midstream company that was part of the Mica acquisition.

In West Central Alberta, we completed one (0.3 net) and brought on production five (2.0 net) Mannville liquids rich conventional natural gas wells, while at Mica we drilled two (2.0 net), completed four (4.0 net), and brought on production one (1.0 net) Montney liquids rich shale gas wells. In Saskatchewan, we drilled one (1.0 net), completed one (1.0 net), and brought on production one (1.0 net) light and medium crude oil well. In the United States, we drilled seven (4.3 net), completed ten (5.7 net), and brought on production five (3.1 net) light and medium crude oil wells in Wyoming. As part of our activity in the quarter we participated in the drilling of two (0.5 net) non-operated Parkman wells and one (0.1 net) non-operated Niobrara well. We continue to evaluate these formations as they relate to future development prospects on our Powder River Basin acreage in Wyoming.

Across North America we are seeing strong overall performance from our capital program and ongoing operations, which has helped in mitigating the impact of fire-related downtime in West Central Alberta.

International

Production from our International operations averaged 29,087 boe/d(1) in Q2 2023, an increase of 30% from the prior quarter, primarily due to the acquisition of additional working interest in the Corrib Natural Gas Project ("Corrib") in Ireland, which closed on March 31, 2023. This acquisition added approximately 7,000 boe/d of European natural gas production. In the Netherlands, we completed one (0.5 net) conventional natural gas well from our Q1 2023 drilling program. In Germany, we continued to advance our deep gas exploration and development plans as we prepare for our first well to be drilled in the fourth quarter of 2023.

In Australia, we completed all remaining inspections and repair work within the primary systems on the platform in Q2 2023, and transitioned to start-up procedures in early July. While testing the systems prior to start-up we identified a leak in a pipe supplying seawater to a secondary area of the deluge fire suppression system. To ensure we have addressed any outstanding items, we have elected to replace the seawater piping at this time, which will delay startup to the end of Q3. The bulk of our focus throughout this maintenance program was on inspections and pipe replacement, which we expect to result in higher operational run-rates with less unplanned downtime in the future.

Outlook and Guidance Update

As a result of the increased scope of repair work on the Wandoo platform in Australia, as well as the planned turnaround at the Corrib facility in Ireland, Q3 2023 volumes are expected to be consistent with Q2 2023 at 80,000 to 83,000 boe/d. As we complete the Australia integrity work and Corrib turnaround we will be well-positioned to deliver an expected Q4 2023 production rate of 86,000 to 89,000 boe/d. As a result of strong operational execution and performance across our portfolio, we are maintaining our 2023 annual production guidance of 82,000 to 86,000 boe/d.

Sustainability

We released the annual update to our online sustainability report in July 2023, marking our 10th year of ESG reporting. One notable highlight is the decrease in our 2022 Scope 1 emission intensity to 0.017 tCO2e per throughput operated boe, in line with our target to reduce our 2019 baseline of 0.019 tCO2e per throughput operated boe by 15% to 20% by 2025. The full report is available at https://www.vermilionenergy.com/sustainability.

Commodity Hedging

Vermilion hedges to manage commodity price exposures and increase the stability of our cash flows. In aggregate, as of August 2, 2023, we have 16% of our expected net-of-royalty production hedged for the remainder of 2023. With respect to individual commodity products, we have hedged 52% of our European natural gas production, 4% of our crude oil production, and 12% of our North American natural gas volumes for the remainder of 2023, respectively. Please refer to the Hedging section of our website under Invest With Us for further details using the following link:

https://www.vermilionenergy.com/invest-with-us/hedging.

(Signed "Dion Hatcher")

Dion Hatcher

President and Chief Executive Officer

August 2, 2023

(1) Please refer to Supplemental Table 4 "Production" of the accompanying Management's Discussion and Analysis for disclosure by product type.

Non-GAAP and Other Specified Financial Measures

This report and other materials released by Vermilion includes financial measures that are not standardized, specified, defined, or determined under IFRS and are therefore considered non-GAAP or other specified financial measures and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These financial measures include:

Total of Segments Measures

Fund flows from operations (FFO): Most directly comparable to net earnings, FFO is comprised of sales excluding royalties, transportation, operating, G&A, corporate income tax, PRRT, windfall taxes, interest expense, realized loss on derivatives, realized foreign exchange gain (loss), and realized other income. The measure is used to assess the contribution of each business unit to Vermilion's ability to generate income necessary to pay dividends, repay debt, fund asset retirement obligations and make capital investments.

Q2 2023

Q2 2022

YTD 2023

YTD 2022

$M

$/boe

$M

$/boe

$M

$/boe

$M

$/boe

Sales

471,356

61.74

858,844

111.55

1,024,054

68.42